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MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
MIA

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

May 2, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
PHI 88-74  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 0, MIA 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIA 4 ยท PHI 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 3.27 vs 4.26) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA PHI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Defensive edge (dWAR 2.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP road mastery (ERA 4.98 R vs 6.16 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
ERA5.40
WHIP1.41
FIP4.56
K/98.2
K/BB4.8
Road ERA: 4.98
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Max Meyer
Max Meyer
ERA2.68
WHIP1.14
FIP3.32
K/99.8
K/BB6.5
Home ERA: 2.28

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Adolis Garcia CF
  5. 5 Bryson Stott 2B
  6. 6 Alec Bohm 3B
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Justin Crawford CF
  9. 8 Garrett Stubbs LF
  10. 9 Felix Reyes RF
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jakob Marsee CF
  2. 2 Kyle Stowers RF
  3. 3 Otto Lopez SS
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Liam Hicks C
  6. 6 Agustin Ramirez DH
  7. 7 Owen Caissie RF
  8. 7 Connor Norby 1B
  9. 8 Graham Pauley 3B
  10. 9 Esteury Ruiz LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.675 0.723
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.2 +0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI +3.5 (+145)
MIA -3.5 (-191)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (-154)
Under 5.5 (+118)
Moneyline
PHI +1260
MIA -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Andrew Painter Andrew Painter SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
51 ยท OVER
MIA โ€” Home

No data yet.

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