โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
NYY

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

May 2, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
BAL 79-82  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 4, NYY 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 8 ยท BAL 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 2.80 vs 4.41, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+3.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY BAL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
ERA4.12
WHIP1.46
FIP4.30
K/98.2
K/BB4.2
Road ERA: 4.93
vs
NYY โ€” Home LHP
Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
ERA3.60
WHIP1.22
FIP3.55
K/99.4
K/BB6.9
Home ERA: 3.79

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso DH
  5. 5 Tyler O'Neill RF
  6. 6 Coby Mayo 1B
  7. 7 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
  8. 8 Weston Wilson 3B
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander CF
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice 1B
  3. 3 Aaron Judge RF
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Jasson Dominguez DH
  7. 7 J.C. Escarra C
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 Jose Caballero SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.713 0.709
Bullpen FIP 3.94 4.52
Run Diff / 10G -1.0 +2.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +2.5 (+113)
NYY -2.5 (-147)
Total (O/U)
Over 12.5 (-130)
Under 12.5 (+100)
Moneyline
BAL +960
NYY -3300

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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