โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

June 7, 2026 ยท 1:40 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
TB 98-64  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: TB 1, MIA 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 57%
Projected Score MIA 4 ยท TB 2
Blowout Probability 4%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 5.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+1.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP home venue edge (ERA 3.18 H vs 4.56 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away RHP
ERA3.53
WHIP1.18
FIP3.71
K/99.3
K/BB6.5
Road ERA: 2.93
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
ERA3.87
WHIP1.23
FIP3.96
K/96.4
K/BB4.0
Home ERA: 3.18

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.736 0.749
Bullpen FIP 4.55 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -2.8 -1.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB +2.5 (+164)
MIA -2.5 (-218)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+163)
Under 5.5 (-217)
Moneyline
TB +1480
MIA -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TB โ€” Away
Griffin Jax Griffin Jax SP
Outs
14.5
53 ยท UNDER
MIA โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.