โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
NYY

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

May 24, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
TB 98-64  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: TB 0, NYY 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 67%
Projected Score NYY 2 ยท TB 0
Blowout Probability 11%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 2.73 vs 3.44, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+2.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY TB SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away LHP
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
ERA3.36
WHIP1.12
FIP3.40
K/98.1
K/BB5.1
Road ERA: 4.36
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
Will Warren
Will Warren
ERA3.92
WHIP1.36
FIP3.86
K/99.1
K/BB6.0
Home ERA: 3.99

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Ryan Vilade RF
  5. 5 Chandler Simpson LF
  6. 6 Nick Fortes C
  7. 7 Taylor Walls SS
  8. 8 Cedric Mullins CF
  9. 9 Carson Williams 2B
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Aaron Judge RF
  3. 3 Ben Rice DH
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  6. 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  7. 7 Jose Caballero SS
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 Austin Wells C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.689 0.737
Bullpen FIP 4.55 4.52
Run Diff / 10G +2.2 -0.7
Days Rest 1 1
Streak -1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB -1.5 (+563)
NYY +1.5 (-1060)
Total (O/U)
Over 1.5 (+156)
Under 1.5 (-203)
Moneyline
TB +237
NYY -329

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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