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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
ARI

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

May 24, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Chase Field
COL 58-104  ยท  ARI 86-76

๐Ÿ Final: COL 1, ARI 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Arizona Diamondbacks
Confidence 72%
Projected Score ARI 7 ยท COL 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ARI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 6.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+4.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI COL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away LHP
Jose Quintana
Jose Quintana
ERA5.44
WHIP1.50
FIP6.02
K/94.7
K/BB0.9
Road ERA: 7.02
vs
ARI โ€” Home RHP
Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
ERA4.95
WHIP1.26
FIP5.10
K/96.8
K/BB4.3
Home ERA: 5.06

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jake McCarthy CF
  2. 2 Tyler Freeman RF
  3. 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
  4. 4 Troy Johnston LF
  5. 5 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  6. 6 Sterlin Thompson DH
  7. 7 Edouard Julien 2B
  8. 8 Kyle Karros 3B
  9. 9 Brett Sullivan C
ARI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ketel Marte DH
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  4. 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
  5. 5 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
  6. 6 Ryan Waldschmidt CF
  7. 7 Jose Fernandez 1B
  8. 8 Aramis Garcia C
  9. 9 Tommy Troy LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away ARI Home
Team OPS 0.707 0.718
Bullpen FIP 5.45 3.95
Run Diff / 10G -2.4 +2.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL +6.5 (-120)
ARI -6.5 (-108)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-132)
Under 11.5 (+101)
Moneyline
COL +1320
ARI -10000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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