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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIN vs
BOS

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox

May 24, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
MIN 77-85  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: MIN 6, BOS 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Minnesota Twins
Confidence 59%
Projected Score MIN 7 ยท BOS 5
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.08 vs 4.76, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS MIN SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS MIN SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIN โ€” Away RHP
Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
ERA4.47
WHIP1.30
FIP4.57
K/96.6
K/BB4.1
Road ERA: 5.95
vs
BOS โ€” Home RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Home ERA: 2.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Austin Martin RF
  2. 2 Brooks Lee 3B
  3. 3 Trevor Larnach LF
  4. 4 Josh Bell DH
  5. 5 Kody Clemens 1B
  6. 6 Victor Caratini C
  7. 7 Orlando Arcia 2B
  8. 8 James Outman CF
  9. 9 Ryan Kreidler SS
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida DH
  6. 6 Nick Sogard 2B
  7. 7 Carlos Narvaez C
  8. 8 Marcelo Mayer SS
  9. 9 Caleb Durbin 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIN Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.685 0.698
Bullpen FIP 4.18 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.2 -0.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIN -1.5 (+283)
BOS +1.5 (-408)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+222)
Under 11.5 (-307)
Moneyline
MIN -418
BOS +289

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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