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MLB Matchup Intelligence

TOR vs
BOS

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

June 18, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
TOR 79-83  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: TOR 4, BOS 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 67%
Projected Score BOS 5 ยท TOR 3
Blowout Probability 11%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.06 vs 4.33, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 5.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Recent run diff (+0.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR SP road mastery (ERA 3.27 R vs 4.41 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TOR โ€” Away RHP
Trey Yesavage
Trey Yesavage
ERA3.69
WHIP1.14
FIP4.16
K/99.0
K/BB4.6
Road ERA: 3.27
vs
BOS โ€” Home RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Home ERA: 2.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TOR โ€” Away
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Jesus Sanchez RF
  4. 4 Yohendrick Pinango LF
  5. 5 Ernie Clement 2B
  6. 6 Nathan Lukes CF
  7. 7 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  8. 8 Brandon Valenzuela C
  9. 9 Andres Gimenez SS
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Mickey Gasper DH
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Jarren Duran LF
  6. 6 Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
  7. 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Andruw Monasterio 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TOR Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.699 0.728
Bullpen FIP 4.49 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +0.3 -0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TOR -1.5 (+1320)
BOS +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+990)
Under 7.5 (-3500)
Moneyline
TOR -10000
BOS +1320

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TOR โ€” Away

No data yet.

BOS โ€” Home
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray SP
Outs
17.5
61 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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