โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

WSH vs
BOS

Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox

June 29, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
WSH 77-85  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: WSH 3, BOS 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 6 ยท WSH 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 2.17 vs 6.20, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH BOS SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 5.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+2.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH SP road mastery (ERA 7.18 R vs 10.14 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

WSH โ€” Away RHP
Miles Mikolas
Miles Mikolas
ERA5.82
WHIP1.38
FIP5.72
K/94.5
K/BB2.7
Road ERA: 7.18
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Ranger Suarez
Ranger Suarez
ERA3.22
WHIP1.19
FIP3.02
K/98.5
K/BB5.7
Home ERA: 3.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

WSH โ€” Away
  1. 1 James Wood LF
  2. 2 Andres Chaparro DH
  3. 3 Curtis Mead 3B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Dylan Crews RF
  6. 6 Jacob Young CF
  7. 7 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  8. 8 Nasim Nunez 2B
  9. 9 Keibert Ruiz C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Masataka Yoshida DH
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Jarren Duran LF
  6. 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
  7. 7 Anthony Seigler 2B
  8. 8 Carlos Narvaez C
  9. 9 Tsung-Che Cheng SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

WSH Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.774 0.714
Bullpen FIP 5.88 3.55
Run Diff / 10G -1.0 +1.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
WSH +2.5 (+245)
BOS -2.5 (-343)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (-121)
Under 9.5 (-107)
Moneyline
WSH +1440
BOS -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

WSH โ€” Away
James Wood James Wood LF
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
69 ยท OVER
Tsung-Che Cheng Tsung-Che Cheng SS
Singles
0.5
56 ยท OVER
Jarren Duran Jarren Duran LF
Singles
0.5
51 ยท OVER
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 1B
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB