โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

WSH vs
NYM

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

April 30, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
WSH 77-85  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: WSH 5, NYM 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 5 ยท WSH 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.75 vs 6.63) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+1.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

WSH โ€” Away RHP
Miles Mikolas
Miles Mikolas
ERA5.82
WHIP1.38
FIP5.72
K/94.5
K/BB2.7
Road ERA: 7.18
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.42
WHIP1.32
FIP4.14
K/98.3
K/BB5.0
Home ERA: 1.76

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

WSH โ€” Away
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Daylen Lile LF
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Jose Tena DH
  6. 6 Jorbit Vivas 3B
  7. 7 Nasim Nunez 2B
  8. 8 Drew Millas C
  9. 9 Jacob Young CF
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Bo Bichette 3B
  2. 2 Juan Soto DH
  3. 3 MJ Melendez LF
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Brett Baty RF
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Carson Benge CF
  8. 8 Luis Torrens C
  9. 9 Ronny Mauricio SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

WSH Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.710
Bullpen FIP 5.88 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +0.5 -1.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
WSH +1.5 (-142)
NYM -1.5 (+109)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+111)
Under 7.5 (-144)
Moneyline
WSH +150
NYM -198

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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