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MLB Final Intelligence

BAL 69-71
6 – 5
FINAL
TB 83-56

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays β€” Recap

August 14, 2026  Β· Tropicana Field  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Baltimore Orioles secured an upset victory over the favored Tampa Bay Rays, fending off a furious ninth-inning rally that saw the Rays score three runs to nearly erase a four-run deficit. Baltimore maintained its lead despite the late surge, delivering an unexpected defeat to a high-flying Tampa Bay squad.

The game began as a back-and-forth affair, with neither team able to establish a significant advantage early on. Baltimore opened the scoring in the second inning on an Encarnacion-Strand sacrifice fly, but Tampa Bay quickly responded in the bottom half when Palacios doubled home a run. Cowser’s solo home run in the third was answered by Mesa Jr.’s RBI single, leaving the score knotted at 2-2 through three frames.

The Orioles finally created separation in the middle innings, pushing ahead with two runs in the seventh. Beavers singled to right, scoring Henderson and Taveras to give Baltimore a 4-2 advantage. Gunnar Henderson extended that lead significantly in the eighth, launching a two-run homer to right-center, bringing the score to 6-2. Although the Rays mounted a substantial rally in the ninth, scoring three runs on an Aranda single and a Caminero groundout, they ultimately ran out of outs, falling one run short.

Baltimore’s ability to build a crucial four-run cushion in the seventh and eighth innings proved just enough to withstand Tampa Bay’s powerful late-game push, securing an important road win. The Orioles improved to 59-63, while the Rays fell to 74-47.

#MLB #Orioles #Rays #GunnarHenderson #Baseball

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Tampa Bay Rays (-168, 60% implied) over the Baltimore Orioles. Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 6–5, pulling off the upset.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Tampa Bay Rays (70% confidence). Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 6–5, missing the call (based on projected lineups, not yet confirmed when the model ran).

Player of the Game

Gunnar Henderson
At the Plate
4 AB, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Chris Bassitt
On the Mound
5.1 IP, 3 K, 2 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
BAL 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 6 120
TB 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 90

Turning Point

The game turned in the 9th inning, when the Tampa Bay Rays scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Chris Bassitt 5.1 5 2 2 3 3 5.11
Jesse Scholtens 3.0 4 2 2 2 2 3.98
Chris Roycroft 2.0 4 2 2 0 1 9.13
Andrew Kittredge 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 3.47
Rico Garcia 1.0 0 0 0 1 0 3.55
Cam Booser 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 2.00
Steven Matz 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 5.37
Tyler Wells 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2.43
Josh Walker W 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 3.07
Yennier Cano 0.2 3 3 3 1 1 2.61
Kevin Kelly 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 1.94
Cam Sanders S 0.1 0 0 0 1 0 6.75
Garrett Cleavinger L 0.1 2 2 2 1 0 3.75

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Gunnar Henderson 4 4 1 2 2 0 0
Dylan Beavers 2 2 0 2 0 0 0
Richie Palacios 4 2 0 1 1 0 1
Pete Alonso 5 2 0 0 0 0 2
Colton Cowser 2 1 1 1 1 0 1
Jonathan Aranda 5 1 0 2 0 0 1
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3 1 0 1 0 0 1
Victor Mesa Jr. 3 1 0 1 0 0 0
Jackson Holliday 5 1 0 0 0 0 1
Tyler O'Neill 2 1 0 0 2 2 0
Cedric Mullins 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Chandler Simpson 4 1 0 0 0 1 1
Liam Hicks 3 1 0 0 1 2 1
Taylor Walls 3 1 0 0 1 1 0
Yandy Diaz 5 1 0 0 0 0 1

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