MLB Final Intelligence
Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins β Recap
August 25, 2026 Β· loanDepot park Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Boston Red Sox secured a hard-fought victory over the Miami Marlins in an extra-inning affair, ultimately pulling away with a decisive four-run rally in the 11th inning. The Red Sox, who were favored heading into the contest, relied on timely hitting and a late-game power surge to outlast their opponent in a game that saw multiple lead changes.
The Red Sox initially took the lead in the second inning when Mickey Gasper connected for a solo home run. The Marlins answered in the fifth, evening the score at one run apiece on a sacrifice fly from Navarreto. Gasper then put Boston back on top with his second solo blast in the sixth, but Miami quickly countered again in the bottom half of the inning, as HernΓ‘ndez launched a solo shot of his own to tie the game once more. The tightly contested battle pushed into extra innings, where Boston broke the stalemate in the tenth when Wong scored on a passed ball.
Despite Boston taking a 3-2 lead in the top of the tenth, Miami again refused to fold, pulling even on a wild pitch by Olds that allowed Navarreto to score. The game-deciding blow came in the top of the 11th, when Duran launched a four-run homer to right center, driving in Contreras, Jones, and Monasterio to give the Red Sox a commanding lead. This massive inning, which was Boston's largest scoring frame of the game, decisively shifted the momentum and outcome. Gasper's pair of solo home runs earlier in the game had set the stage for Boston's offensive output, while Payton Tolle's 5.1 innings and seven strikeouts from the mound helped keep the Marlins' offense in check for much of the game.
The Red Sox ultimately prevailed due to their ability to deliver a crucial late-game power stroke, capitalizing on the extra innings to break the deadlock after a persistent back-and-forth battle. Their decisive 11th-inning rally sealed the victory, reaffirming their status as the favored team. Following the win, the Boston Red Sox improved their record to 73-59, while the Miami Marlins fell to 67-66.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Boston Red Sox (-163, 59% implied) over the Miami Marlins. Final: the Boston Red Sox won 7β3.
SportsFBI's model favored the Boston Red Sox (70% confidence). Final: the Boston Red Sox won 7β3.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 11th inning, when the Boston Red Sox scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Tolle |
|
5.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3.09 |
| Tyler Phillips |
|
4.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3.59 |
| Tyron Guerrero |
|
1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.72 |
| Alec Gamboa W |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.31 |
| Erik Miller |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2.09 |
| Greg Weissert |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.93 |
| Cade Gibson L |
|
1.0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5.87 |
| Calvin Faucher |
|
1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.99 |
| Jack Ralston |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Josh Ekness |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.59 |
| Michael Petersen |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3.46 |
| Tyler Zuber |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.81 |
| Wyatt Olds |
|
0.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 |
| Victor Vodnik |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.98 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Gasper |
|
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Willson Contreras |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Edwards |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jarren Duran |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Heriberto Hernandez |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Andruw Monasterio |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Griffin Conine |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jakob Marsee |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Javier Sanoja |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Otto Lopez |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
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