โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

MIL 86-53
2 โ€“ 3
FINAL
NYM 62-77

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets โ€” Recap

August 25, 2026  ยท Citi Field  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The New York Mets secured a dramatic 3-2 extra-inning victory over the Milwaukee Brewers, walking off in the tenth after the visitors had tied the game in the ninth. This hard-fought win came as an upset, as the Brewers had been favored by the pregame market, and SportsFBI's proprietary model also leaned Milwaukee, primarily due to a perceived starting pitching quality advantage.

Milwaukee broke the scoreless tie in the top of the fourth inning when Lara singled to left, allowing Contreras to score. The Mets quickly answered in the bottom of the fifth, as Francisco Lindor launched a 400-foot solo home run to center field, knotting the score at one apiece. An inning later, Robert Jr. put New York ahead with a 390-foot solo blast to left-center.

The Mets' ability to match Milwaukee's offense with back-to-back solo shots from Lindor and Robert Jr. proved pivotal in establishing their narrow lead. On the mound, New York starter Zac Thornton delivered a strong performance, limiting the powerful Brewers lineup to just one earned run over six innings while striking out four, effectively keeping the game within reach. Despite the Mets holding the advantage, Milwaukee showed resilience in the top of the ninth when Yelich doubled to left, bringing home Contreras and forcing extra innings.

New York ultimately sealed the victory in the bottom of the tenth, capitalizing on a crucial throwing error by third baseman Hamilton on a grounder from Morel that allowed Lindor to score the winning run. The Mets' determination to secure the upset against a strong opponent highlighted their resilience. Following the win, New York moved to 60-72 on the season, while Milwaukee's record dropped to 81-51.

#MLB #Mets #Brewers #FranciscoLindor

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Milwaukee Brewers (-167, 60% implied) over the New York Mets. Final: the New York Mets won 3โ€“2, pulling off the upset.

โšก Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Milwaukee Brewers (69% confidence). Final: the New York Mets won 3โ€“2, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Francisco Lindor
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 1 RBI
On the Mound
6.0 IP, 4 K, 1 ER

Linescore

12345678910 RHE
MIL 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 91
NYM 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 110

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Zac Thornton 6.0 7 1 1 0 4 2.88
Kyle Harrison 5.0 6 1 1 1 5 2.79
Nate Lavender 2.0 0 0 0 0 1 0.00
Antonio Senzatela 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 3.82
Trevor Megill L 1.1 1 1 0 2 1 2.28
Aaron Ashby 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3.28
Jonathan Pintaro W 1.0 0 0 0 1 2 3.86
Chad Patrick 0.2 3 1 1 0 0 3.34
Jefry Yan 0.2 0 0 0 1 1 3.86
Austin Warren 0.1 2 1 1 1 1 4.50

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
William Contreras 4 3 0 0 2 1 1
Carson Benge 4 3 0 0 0 1 0
Francisco Lindor 4 2 1 1 2 1 0
Luis Robert Jr. 4 2 1 1 1 1 0
Christian Yelich 1 1 0 1 0 0 0
Luis Lara 4 1 0 1 0 0 2
Andrew Vaughn 3 1 0 0 0 0 1
Cooper Pratt 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Garrett Mitchell 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Joey Ortiz 3 1 0 0 0 1 0
A.J. Ewing 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Bo Bichette 5 1 0 0 0 0 1
Brett Baty 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Luis Torrens 4 1 0 0 0 0 3

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