MLB Final Intelligence
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies β Recap
August 18, 2026 Β· Citizens Bank Park Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies mounted a pivotal four-run rally in the sixth inning, coming from behind to secure a victory over the Miami Marlins. After trailing by two runs heading into the bottom of the frame, the Phillies' offense surged to take a lead they would not relinquish.
Initially, the Phillies took an early lead when Bohm singled home Harper in the first inning. The Marlins quickly responded in the second, as Griffin Conine launched a 422-foot solo home run to center, tying the game. Miami then pieced together two more runs, first with Edwards' fifth-inning single that brought Navarreto home, and later capitalizing on a throwing error by second baseman Arraez in the sixth to build a 3-1 advantage.
However, the bottom of the sixth inning proved to be the decisive turning point, as the Phillies' offense erupted for four runs, their largest scoring inning of the game. Bohm initiated the comeback with an RBI double that scored Turner, cutting the deficit to one. Immediately after, Stott delivered a clutch single to center field, driving in both Arraez and Bohm to give Philadelphia a 4-3 lead. Crawford then extended their advantage to 5-3 with another RBI single, capping the pivotal rally.
Despite a Miami run in the eighth, off an HernΓ‘ndez single that narrowed the gap, the Phillies responded in kind during the bottom half of the frame with a Schwarber RBI single that scored Stott, securing their two-run cushion. Philadelphia's timely hitting and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, particularly in their decisive sixth inning, ultimately proved too much for the Marlins to overcome. The Phillies improved their record to 69-58, while the Marlins fell to 64-63, as the pregame market and SportsFBI's model, citing key injuries to Miami, had correctly favored Philadelphia.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Philadelphia Phillies (-246, 68% implied) over the Miami Marlins. Final: the Philadelphia Phillies won 6β4.
SportsFBI's model favored the Philadelphia Phillies (72% confidence). Final: the Philadelphia Phillies won 6β4.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Philadelphia Phillies scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler |
|
5.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2.92 |
| Tyler Phillips |
|
2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3.67 |
| Josh Ekness |
|
1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.42 |
| Cade Gibson |
|
1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.66 |
| Tyler Zuber |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.16 |
| Michael Petersen L |
|
1.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3.61 |
| Alex McFarlane W |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.08 |
| Brooks Raley S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.25 |
| Jose Alvarado |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.00 |
| Orion Kerkering |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.62 |
| Calvin Faucher |
|
0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.10 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Griffin Conine |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Bohm |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Crawford |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryson Stott |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Heriberto Hernandez |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Xavier Edwards |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kyle Schwarber |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Javier Sanoja |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Marsh |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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