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MLB Final Intelligence

MIL 103-59
5 – 1
FINAL
PHI 88-74

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies β€” Recap

September 24, 2026  Β· Citizens Bank Park  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

Milwaukee broke open a tightly contested game with a decisive three-run eighth inning and added insurance in the ninth, securing a 5-1 upset victory over the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite the pregame market favoring Philadelphia, the Brewers delivered a strong late performance that aligned with SportsFBI's model, which had leaned towards Milwaukee given their recent hot streak.

The game began as a low-scoring affair, with both teams trading blows early. William Frelick's RBI double to left field in the top of the second inning gave the Brewers an initial lead. Philadelphia quickly answered in the bottom of the third, as Bryce Harper's single to left brought home Kyle Schwarber, knotting the score at one run apiece, where it remained until the eighth inning.

The turning point came in the top of the eighth when the Brewers' offense finally capitalized. Jake Bauers singled to center, scoring Jackson Chourio to break the 1-1 deadlock. Andruw Pratt followed with another single to center, bringing home Bauers. Joey Ortiz then singled to center, allowing Brice SΓ‘nchez to score, completing a pivotal three-run inning that gave Milwaukee a commanding lead. This late surge overshadowed a strong outing from Phillies starter Andrew Painter, who struck out eight batters over six innings while allowing only one earned run.

Milwaukee's ability to consistently generate offense in critical late-game situations ultimately determined the outcome. Jackson Chourio further cemented the victory with a solo home run to left center in the top of the ninth, ensuring the Brewers' road win. The Brewers improved their impressive record to 100-59, while the Phillies now stand at 87-72.

#MLB #MilwaukeeBrewers #PhiladelphiaPhillies #JacksonChourio

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Philadelphia Phillies (-119, 52% implied) over the Milwaukee Brewers. Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 5–1, pulling off the upset.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Milwaukee Brewers (58% confidence). Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 5–1.

Player of the Game

Jackson Chourio
At the Plate
1 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Andrew Painter
On the Mound
6.0 IP, 8 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
MIL 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 5 111
PHI 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 40

Turning Point

The game turned in the 8th inning, when the Milwaukee Brewers scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Andrew Painter 6.0 5 1 1 3 8 5.40
Shane Drohan 2.2 3 1 1 2 2 4.24
Aaron Ashby 2.0 0 0 0 0 2 3.19
Antonio Senzatela S 1.2 0 0 0 1 1 4.07
Chad Patrick 1.1 0 0 0 1 0 3.07
JoJo Romero W 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 3.46
Alex McFarlane 1.0 0 0 0 2 3 2.00
Tim Mayza 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 3.53
Chase Shugart 0.2 2 0 0 0 1 3.98
Jose Alvarado L 0.1 2 3 3 1 0 5.43

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Cooper Pratt 3 2 0 1 0 1 0
Jake Bauers 5 2 0 1 1 0 2
Bryce Harper 4 2 0 1 0 0 0
Kyle Schwarber 4 2 0 0 1 0 0
Jackson Chourio 1 1 1 1 2 1 0
Joey Ortiz 4 1 0 1 0 0 2
Sal Frelick 2 1 0 1 0 2 0
Brice Turang 5 1 0 0 0 0 2
Garrett Mitchell 5 1 0 0 0 0 4
Gary Sanchez 4 1 0 0 2 1 2
Luis Lara 5 1 0 0 0 0 0

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