โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

SD 91-71
4 โ€“ 2
FINAL
LAD 100-62

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers โ€” Recap

September 24, 2026  ยท Dodger Stadium  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The San Diego Padres staged an upset victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers, defying pregame expectations from both market odds and SportsFBI's analytics model. San Diego built a significant lead in the middle innings, notably a three-run seventh, which proved insurmountable for the favored Dodgers as the Padres held off a late push to clinch the win.

The game remained scoreless until the top of the sixth when San Diego broke the deadlock with a sacrifice fly from Harris, allowing Ethan Salas to score. The Padres then erupted for three critical runs in the top of the seventh inning. Hays opened the scoring in the frame with an infield single that brought Merrill home, and Salas followed with a single to center field, driving in Bogaerts. Tatis Jr. capped the inning with an RBI single to right, extending the lead to 4-0.

The decisive turning point was undoubtedly that three-run seventh inning, which provided the Padres with the cushion needed to withstand any Dodgers' rally. Ethan Salas was a key offensive contributor for San Diego, delivering two hits, including an RBI single in the pivotal seventh, and also scoring a run himself. Despite the loss, Dodgers' starter Tyler Glasnow delivered a strong outing, striking out 11 batters over 6.1 innings, though he surrendered three earned runs. Los Angeles struggled to generate consistent offense, managing their first run in the bottom of the eighth on a balk, and a final run in the ninth when Ohtani doubled to center, scoring Edman.

Ultimately, the Padres' ability to deliver timely hits and capitalize on their opportunities in the middle innings proved too much for the favored Dodgers. San Diego now stands at 89-70, while Los Angeles moves to 97-62.

#MLB #Padres #Dodgers #EthanSalas #UpsetWin

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (-172, 60% implied) over the San Diego Padres. Final: the San Diego Padres won 4โ€“2, pulling off the upset.

โšก Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (53% confidence). Final: the San Diego Padres won 4โ€“2, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Ethan Salas
At the Plate
3 AB, 2 H, 1 RBI
Tyler Glasnow
On the Mound
6.1 IP, 11 K, 3 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
SD 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 4 60
LAD 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 70

Turning Point

The game turned in the 7th inning, when the San Diego Padres scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Tyler Glasnow L 6.1 3 3 3 2 11 3.53
Nick Pivetta 4.2 4 0 0 1 7 2.86
Adrian Morejon 1.1 1 1 1 1 2 2.86
Edwin Diaz 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 9.17
Evan Phillips 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 3.38
Jason Adam 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2.43
Mason Miller S 1.0 1 1 1 0 2 1.30
Yuki Matsui W 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1.84
Justin Wrobleski 0.2 3 1 1 0 1 3.72

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Mookie Betts 4 3 0 0 1 1 0
Shohei Ohtani 5 2 0 1 0 0 1
Ethan Salas 3 2 0 1 1 0 1
Fernando Tatis Jr. 3 2 0 1 0 1 1
Freddie Freeman 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Austin Hays 1 1 0 1 0 0 0
Jackson Merrill 4 1 0 0 1 0 2

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