MLB Final Intelligence
St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates β Recap
September 24, 2026 Β· PNC Park Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates narrowly defeated the St. Louis Cardinals in a tightly contested, low-scoring affair. A pivotal sacrifice fly in the eighth inning ultimately broke a deadlock, securing the win for the favored Pirates in a game dominated by strong pitching on both sides.
Alec Burleson gave the Cardinals an early lead, launching a solo home run to right center in the top of the first inning. Pittsburgh, however, quickly answered in the bottom half of the frame when Lowe singled to left, bringing home Cruz to tie the game at one run apiece. The score remained knotted for several innings, a testament to the effectiveness of both pitching staffs, with neither team able to push across another run.
The game's outcome ultimately hinged on the Pirates' ability to capitalize on a late-game opportunity. After a long stretch of scoreless innings following the initial exchange, the bottom of the eighth proved pivotal. Horwitz hit a sacrifice fly to center field, allowing Simon to score and finally breaking the 1-1 tie. This late offensive push for Pittsburgh overshadowed Burlesonβs solo shot, which was the Cardinals' only offense of the night. On the mound, Paul Skenes delivered a stellar performance for the Pirates, tossing 6.1 innings while allowing just one earned run and striking out eight, keeping his team in the game during the prolonged scoring drought.
Pittsburgh prevailed due to timely hitting in the late innings and dominant pitching that stifled the Cardinals' offense for most of the game. Despite pregame analytics noting a potential bullpen edge for St. Louis, the Pirates' late-game execution proved superior when it mattered most. The Pittsburgh Pirates now stand at 81-78, while the St. Louis Cardinals fall to 77-82.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (-164, 59% implied) over the St. Louis Cardinals. Final: the Pittsburgh Pirates won 2β1.
SportsFBI's model favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (60% confidence). Final: the Pittsburgh Pirates won 2β1.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes |
|
6.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3.82 |
| Cooper Hjerpe |
|
3.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4.38 |
| Kyle Leahy |
|
2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3.66 |
| Mason Montgomery S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2.55 |
| Brycen Mautz |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6.43 |
| Ryne Stanek L |
|
1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4.02 |
| Gregory Soto |
|
0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.68 |
| Yohan Ramirez |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.90 |
| Gordon Graceffo |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.73 |
| Luke Weaver W |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.73 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konnor Griffin |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oneil Cruz |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| JJ Wetherholt |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Lowe |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Nick Gonzales |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ronny Simon |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ivan Herrera |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nathan Church |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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