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MLB Final Intelligence

STL 77-85
1 – 2
FINAL
PIT 82-80

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates β€” Recap

September 24, 2026  Β· PNC Park  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates narrowly defeated the St. Louis Cardinals in a tightly contested, low-scoring affair. A pivotal sacrifice fly in the eighth inning ultimately broke a deadlock, securing the win for the favored Pirates in a game dominated by strong pitching on both sides.

Alec Burleson gave the Cardinals an early lead, launching a solo home run to right center in the top of the first inning. Pittsburgh, however, quickly answered in the bottom half of the frame when Lowe singled to left, bringing home Cruz to tie the game at one run apiece. The score remained knotted for several innings, a testament to the effectiveness of both pitching staffs, with neither team able to push across another run.

The game's outcome ultimately hinged on the Pirates' ability to capitalize on a late-game opportunity. After a long stretch of scoreless innings following the initial exchange, the bottom of the eighth proved pivotal. Horwitz hit a sacrifice fly to center field, allowing Simon to score and finally breaking the 1-1 tie. This late offensive push for Pittsburgh overshadowed Burleson’s solo shot, which was the Cardinals' only offense of the night. On the mound, Paul Skenes delivered a stellar performance for the Pirates, tossing 6.1 innings while allowing just one earned run and striking out eight, keeping his team in the game during the prolonged scoring drought.

Pittsburgh prevailed due to timely hitting in the late innings and dominant pitching that stifled the Cardinals' offense for most of the game. Despite pregame analytics noting a potential bullpen edge for St. Louis, the Pirates' late-game execution proved superior when it mattered most. The Pittsburgh Pirates now stand at 81-78, while the St. Louis Cardinals fall to 77-82.

#MLB #Pirates #Cardinals #PaulSkenes

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (-164, 59% implied) over the St. Louis Cardinals. Final: the Pittsburgh Pirates won 2–1.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (60% confidence). Final: the Pittsburgh Pirates won 2–1.

Player of the Game

Alec Burleson
At the Plate
4 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Paul Skenes
On the Mound
6.1 IP, 8 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
STL 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 52
PIT 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 β€” 2 70

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Paul Skenes 6.1 3 1 1 2 8 3.82
Cooper Hjerpe 3.1 3 0 0 3 3 4.38
Kyle Leahy 2.0 3 1 1 0 3 3.66
Mason Montgomery S 1.0 0 0 0 0 3 2.55
Brycen Mautz 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 6.43
Ryne Stanek L 1.0 0 1 0 2 0 4.02
Gregory Soto 0.2 2 0 0 0 1 3.68
Yohan Ramirez 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 2.90
Gordon Graceffo 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 2.73
Luke Weaver W 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 2.73

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Konnor Griffin 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Oneil Cruz 4 2 0 0 1 0 0
JJ Wetherholt 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Alec Burleson 4 1 1 1 1 0 1
Brandon Lowe 3 1 0 1 0 1 2
Nick Gonzales 3 1 0 0 0 1 0
Ronny Simon 3 1 0 0 1 1 1
Ivan Herrera 4 1 0 0 0 0 2
Nathan Church 3 1 0 0 0 0 0

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