MLB Final Intelligence
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks β Recap
September 20, 2026 Β· Chase Field Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks staged a dramatic comeback against the New York Yankees, erasing a three-run deficit with a decisive seven-run unanswered surge after trailing 4-1, highlighted by a pivotal five-run fifth inning. Arizona initially took the lead in the first inning when Perdomo singled home Nootbaar. However, the Yankees quickly responded in the third with a flurry of three solo home runs from Ramos, Lombard Jr. (who also scored GarcΓa Jr.), and Jones, establishing a 4-1 advantage. The Diamondbacks began to chip away in the fifth, as Carroll drew a bases-loaded walk, narrowing the score to 4-2. Later in that same decisive fifth inning, with the bases still loaded after Carroll's walk, Nolan Arenado blasted a grand slam to left field, instantly flipping the score to 6-4 in favor of Arizona. This monumental five-run frame decisively shifted the momentum, contrasting sharply with the Yankeesβ earlier solo shots. New York starter Will Warren was pulled after 4.1 innings, having allowed four earned runs. The Diamondbacks then extended their lead in the seventh with Perdomo's RBI triple and Carroll's subsequent RBI single, providing crucial insurance runs. The Diamondbacks' ability to capitalize on opportunities with runners on base, culminating in Arenado's grand slam, proved to be the decisive factor in overcoming New York's early power display. Their come-from-behind victory marked an upset, a result that SportsFBI's model had correctly predicted. The win improved Arizona's record to 82-74, while New York now stands at 89-66.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the New York Yankees (-112, 51% implied) over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 8β4, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (53% confidence). Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 8β4.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 5th inning, when the Arizona Diamondbacks scored 5 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warren |
|
4.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4.02 |
| Corbin Burnes |
|
2.2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7.84 |
| Jonathan Loaisiga |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 |
| Ryne Nelson |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.81 |
| Brandyn Garcia |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.84 |
| Justin Martinez W |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 |
| Taylor Clarke |
|
1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.65 |
| John Schreiber |
|
1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3.39 |
| Luis Gil |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.97 |
| Tim Hill |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.71 |
| Brent Headrick L |
|
0.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.10 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Lombard Jr. |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Geraldo Perdomo |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Gabriel Moreno |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Ketel Marte |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lars Nootbaar |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Nolan Arenado |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Heliot Ramos |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Spencer Jones |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Corbin Carroll |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Ildemaro Vargas |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Volpe |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Wells |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Cody Bellinger |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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