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MLB Final Intelligence

WSH 77-85
3 – 5
FINAL
STL 77-85

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals β€” Recap

September 20, 2026  Β· Busch Stadium  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals utilized a late-game power surge to defeat the Washington Nationals, erasing a sixth-inning deficit with two decisive home runs in the eighth. This comeback victory cemented the Cardinals' ability to capitalize in crucial moments.

Ivan Herrera started the scoring for St. Louis with a solo home run in the bottom of the first inning. Washington quickly answered in the second when Young hit a sacrifice fly, bringing Lile home to tie the game. The Cardinals regained the lead in the third after Wetherholt singled home FermΓ­n. The Nationals then took their first lead of the contest in the sixth, as Abrams connected for a two-run homer that scored House.

The game's turning point arrived in the bottom of the eighth inning, which proved to be the Cardinals' largest scoring frame with three runs. With one out, Herrera launched his second home run of the game, a 439-foot shot to left-center field, to tie the score. Moments later, Bernal followed with a two-run blast to center, bringing Walker across the plate and giving St. Louis a decisive two-run advantage. Nationals starter Jake Irvin delivered a strong outing with eight strikeouts over 5.1 innings while allowing only two earned runs, but his efforts were ultimately undone by the late-inning Cardinals' rally.

Ultimately, the Cardinals' potent late-game offense, spearheaded by Ivan Herrera's two home runs and Bernal's go-ahead shot, powered them to victory after trailing in the sixth. St. Louis demonstrated its ability to respond under pressure and secure the win. The Cardinals now stand at 76-80 on the season, while the Nationals fell to 73-83.

#MLB #StLouisCardinals #WashingtonNationals #IvanHerrera

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the St. Louis Cardinals (-149, 57% implied) over the Washington Nationals. Final: the St. Louis Cardinals won 5–3.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Washington Nationals (52% confidence). Final: the St. Louis Cardinals won 5–3, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Ivan Herrera
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 2 HR, 2 RBI
Jake Irvin
On the Mound
5.1 IP, 8 K, 2 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
WSH 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 71
STL 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 β€” 5 60

Turning Point

The game turned in the 8th inning, when the St. Louis Cardinals scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Quinn Mathews 7.0 7 3 3 2 3 3.65
Jake Irvin 5.1 3 2 2 0 8 5.40
Will Dion 1.2 1 0 0 1 0 3.74
Luis Gastelum W 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 4.46
Riley O'Brien S 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 4.08
Erik Tolman 0.2 1 1 1 0 0 3.65
Yovanny Cruz L 0.1 1 2 2 1 0 5.27

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Ivan Herrera 4 2 2 2 2 0 1
Jose Fermin 3 2 0 0 1 0 0
Brady House 2 2 0 0 1 1 0
Daylen Lile 4 2 0 0 1 0 0
Leo Bernal 3 1 1 2 1 1 1
CJ Abrams 4 1 1 2 1 0 1
JJ Wetherholt 4 1 0 1 0 0 0
Jacob Young 2 1 0 1 0 0 0
Harry Ford 3 1 0 0 0 0 1

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