MLB Final Intelligence
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies β Recap
September 15, 2026 Β· Coors Field Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Colorado Rockies, despite entering the game as significant underdogs according to both the pregame market and SportsFBIβs proprietary analytics, pulled off an upset victory against the San Diego Padres. Overcoming two separate deficits, the Rockies unleashed a decisive five-run sixth inning to secure the win, stunning the favored Padres.
San Diego initially took control, building early leads with solo home runs. Fernando Tatis Jr. provided the first score in the top of the first with a 455-foot blast to left, followed by Luis Campusano's 386-foot shot in the second. Colorado quickly responded in the bottom of the third when Cole Carrigg launched his first homer of the game, a two-run shot to right field that also scored Ezequiel Amador, tying the game. Austin Hays briefly reclaimed the lead for San Diego in the fifth inning with a 379-foot home run to left, setting the stage for Colorado's pivotal rally.
The game decisively swung in the bottom of the sixth inning when the Rockies exploded for five runs. Alan Johnston's double to center field brought home Sam Moniak, re-tying the contest. Brendan Sullivan then delivered a single to right, scoring Johnston and giving Colorado its first lead of the night. The inning's biggest blow came from Carrigg, who smashed his second home run, a 415-foot shot to right, driving in Sullivan and Sean McCarthy to cap the five-run frame. Ryan Feltner also contributed significantly to the Rockies' effort, delivering five innings with five strikeouts without surrendering an earned run.
Ultimately, the Rockies' resilience and a remarkable offensive display, highlighted by Carrigg's multi-homer performance, enabled them to overpower the Padres. They capitalized on their opportunities in the decisive middle innings, securing an unexpected victory at home. Following the game, the Rockies improved to 56-95, while the Padres fell to 82-69.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the San Diego Padres (-198, 64% implied) over the Colorado Rockies. Final: the Colorado Rockies won 9β3, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the San Diego Padres (72% confidence). Final: the Colorado Rockies won 9β3, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Colorado Rockies scored 5 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner W |
|
5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5.63 |
| Walker Buehler |
|
4.2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4.58 |
| Kyle Freeland |
|
4.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6.38 |
| Randy Vasquez |
|
2.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4.07 |
| Wandy Peralta L |
|
0.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3.75 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Carrigg |
|
5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Troy Johnston |
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Hays |
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Luis Campusano |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake McCarthy |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Rumfield |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Merrill |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brett Sullivan |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Zac Veen |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Adael Amador |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Karros |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mickey Moniak |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Dustin Harris |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Cronenworth |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Manny Machado |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Xander Bogaerts |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
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