โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

SD 91-71
6 โ€“ 1
FINAL
STL 77-85

San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals โ€” Recap

June 17, 2026  ยท Busch Stadium  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The San Diego Padres, entering play with a 55-54 record and projected as underdogs against the 54-55 St. Louis Cardinals, pulled off an impressive upset victory with a 6-1 final score. The Padres wasted no time setting the tone, grabbing an early lead in the top of the first inning when Manny Machado hit a sacrifice fly to right field, bringing Taylor home and putting San Diego up 1-0. This initial strike hinted at the resilient performance to come.

San Diego continued to build momentum in the middle innings, extending their advantage. Xander Bogaerts singled to right in the fourth, allowing Machado to score and making it a 2-0 game. An inning later, Fernando Tatis Jr. doubled to center, plating Wagner for a 3-0 lead. Despite the early deficit, Cardinals starter Kyle Leahy turned in a solid outing, striking out seven over six innings while allowing three earned runs. St. Louis managed to cut into the lead in the bottom of the fifth when Burleson singled to right, scoring Church and bringing the score to 3-1, keeping the home crowd hopeful.

The game remained a tight 3-1 affair until the top of the ninth inning, which proved to be the decisive turning point for the Padres. Fernando Tatis Jr. delivered an important insurance run with a single to right that scored Song, though Tatis Jr. was thrown out attempting to stretch it into a double โ€“ a call that was upheld after a San Diego challenge. With the score now 4-1, rookie Jackson Merrill then emphatically sealed the upset. Merrill launched a 423-foot home run to right field, also scoring Taylor, to push the lead to a commanding 6-1. This blast, which also stood after a challenged call, cemented Merrill's standout day, as he finished with three hits, including the pivotal homer, two RBI, and a run scored, ensuring the Padres left St. Louis with a significant road win.

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the St. Louis Cardinals (-120, 52% implied) over the San Diego Padres. Final: the San Diego Padres won 6โ€“1, pulling off the upset.

Player of the Game

Jackson Merrill
At the Plate
5 AB, 3 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Kyle Leahy
On the Mound
6.0 IP, 7 K, 3 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
SD 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 6 140
STL 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 61

Turning Point

The game turned in the 9th inning, when the San Diego Padres scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Kyle Leahy L 6.0 7 3 3 1 7 4.63
Griffin Canning W 4.1 4 1 1 3 2 6.64
Kyle Hart 1.2 0 0 0 0 1 4.43
Chris Roycroft 1.1 4 3 3 2 1 15.19
Matt Svanson 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 7.11
Adrian Morejon 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 3.89
Bradgley Rodriguez 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 2.10
Jason Adam 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1.71
Justin Bruihl 0.1 2 0 0 0 0 4.50

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Jackson Merrill 5 3 1 2 1 0 2
Fernando Tatis Jr. 5 3 0 2 0 0 0
Xander Bogaerts 4 2 0 1 0 0 0
Manny Machado 3 1 0 1 1 1 0
Alec Burleson 4 1 0 1 0 0 1
Gavin Sheets 4 1 0 0 0 1 2
Rodolfo Duran 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Samad Taylor 4 1 0 0 2 1 2
Sung-Mun Song 1 1 0 0 1 0 0
Will Wagner 3 1 0 0 1 0 0
Ivan Herrera 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
JJ Wetherholt 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Lars Nootbaar 4 1 0 0 0 0 2
Masyn Winn 3 1 0 0 0 1 0
Nathan Church 2 1 0 0 1 0 0

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