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MLB Final Intelligence

SEA 76-86
4 – 8
FINAL
MIA 80-82

Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins β€” Recap

July 9, 2026  Β· loanDepot park  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Miami Marlins, entering Tuesday night's contest with a 53-54 record and considered the underdog against the 52-55 Seattle Mariners, delivered an upset victory, taking down the favored Mariners 8-4. The game saw both teams trade blows early, but a pivotal four-run fourth inning by the Marlins ultimately decided the outcome, allowing them to pull away and secure the win.

Seattle initially drew first blood in the second inning when Naylor scored on a throwing error by Marlins pitcher Janson Junk, giving the Mariners a 1-0 lead. However, Miami wasted no time responding. In the bottom half of the same inning, Griffin Conine tied the game with a 373-foot solo homer to right field. The Marlins then took the lead when Hicks doubled to right, driving in Marsee, making it 2-1 after two frames.

The turning point arrived in the bottom of the fourth inning as the Marlins exploded for four runs. Marsee scored on a fielder's choice by Hicks, a play that was overturned in Miami's favor after a challenge, extending their lead to 3-1. Lopez then delivered a crucial triple to left, scoring both JimΓ©nez and Hicks. Stowers capped off the big inning with a single to right that brought Lopez home, putting the Marlins comfortably ahead 6-1.

The Mariners attempted to claw their way back, with Arozarena homering to center in the fifth inning to make it 6-2. However, Miami continued to build on its lead in the seventh inning. Marsee singled to right, scoring Conine, and JimΓ©nez later grounded out to second, allowing Ruiz to score, pushing the Marlins' advantage to 8-2. Seattle managed two more runs in the eighth when Canzone homered to center, bringing Arozarena home, but it was too little, too late.

Miami’s offensive surge was powered by Griffin Conine, who enjoyed a stellar night at the plate with three hits, including his second-inning home run, one RBI, and two runs scored. On the mound, Janson Junk turned in a top pitching performance for the Marlins, going 5.0 innings and allowing just one earned run while striking out five, earning the win as Miami completed the upset.

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Seattle Mariners (-149, 57% implied) over the Miami Marlins. Final: the Miami Marlins won 8–4, pulling off the upset.

Player of the Game

Griffin Conine
At the Plate
4 AB, 3 H, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Janson Junk
On the Mound
5.0 IP, 5 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
SEA 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 4 72
MIA 0 2 0 4 0 0 2 0 β€” 8 122

Turning Point

The game turned in the 4th inning, when the Miami Marlins scored 4 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Janson Junk W 5.0 3 2 1 4 5 4.57
Bryce Miller L 5.0 9 6 4 4 3 2.18
Lake Bachar 2.0 1 0 0 0 3 3.67
Cole Wilcox 1.0 0 0 0 1 0 4.50
Calvin Faucher 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 4.54

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Griffin Conine 4 3 1 1 2 0 0
Dominic Canzone 5 2 1 2 1 0 0
Jakob Marsee 3 2 0 1 2 1 0
Leo Jimenez 4 2 0 1 1 0 0
Luke Raley 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Randy Arozarena 3 1 1 1 2 2 0
Otto Lopez 3 1 0 2 1 2 0
Kyle Stowers 5 1 0 1 0 0 2
Liam Hicks 5 1 0 1 1 0 0
Esteury Ruiz 4 1 0 0 1 0 2
Xavier Edwards 4 1 0 0 0 1 0
Josh Naylor 4 1 0 0 1 0 0

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