MLB Final Intelligence
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays โ Recap
July 9, 2026 ยท Tropicana Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The New York Yankees, entering as underdogs against the favored Tampa Bay Rays, stormed Tropicana Field to deliver a decisive 12-4 upset victory. Despite the Rays' 62-43 record placing them ahead of the Yankees' 60-46 mark, New York showcased a relentless offense that quickly erased an early deficit. While the Rays initially drew first blood with a solo shot, a colossal third inning proved to be the turning point that irrevocably shifted the game's momentum in the Yankees' favor.
Tampa Bay's Yandy Caminero kicked off the scoring in the bottom of the first, launching a 438-foot home run to right center and giving the Rays a 1-0 lead. However, the Yankees unleashed their fury in the top of the third inning, scoring six unanswered runs to seize control. The rally began with McMahon's double scoring Schuemann to tie the game, followed by Grisham's single plating McMahon for the lead. Ben Rice then crushed his first homer of the night, a 367-foot shot to right that brought Grisham home after an umpire review upheld the call, pushing the score to 4-1. New York wasn't done, as Caballero singled in Domรญnguez and Chisholm Jr. hit a sacrifice fly to score Bellinger, extending their advantage to 6-1. The Rays managed a partial response in the bottom of the third, with Fortes scoring on a double play and Dรญaz coming home on a ground rule double by Mesa Jr., cutting the deficit to 6-3.
The Yankees, however, continued to pile on. Wells added to the lead in the top of the fourth with a 375-foot solo home run to right. The sixth inning saw Rice unleash another powerful swing, a 422-foot blast to center, scoring Wells and Grisham and cementing his dominant offensive night while pushing the Yankees' lead to 10-3. Tampa Bay picked up a fourth run in the bottom of the sixth when Williamson singled in Simpson, but it was too little, too late against the Yankees' relentless attack.
New York refused to let up, adding insurance runs in the later innings. McMahon doubled to right in the seventh, scoring Schuemann, and Bellinger singled in Rice in the eighth to cap off the scoring at 12-4. Ben Rice was the undeniable star of the Yankees' lineup, finishing with two home runs, five RBI, and three runs scored. On the pitching side, Angel Chivilli delivered a crucial performance out of the bullpen, tossing 2.0 scoreless innings and striking out three, solidifying the Yankees' unexpected victory over the favored Rays.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Tampa Bay Rays (-156, 58% implied) over the New York Yankees. Final: the New York Yankees won 12โ4, pulling off the upset.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 3rd inning, when the New York Yankees scored 6 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen L |
|
2.1 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3.26 |
| Angel Chivilli |
|
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.35 |
| Paul Blackburn |
|
2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2.31 |
| Casey Legumina |
|
2.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3.99 |
| Brent Headrick |
|
1.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.57 |
| Cam Booser |
|
1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1.80 |
| Ryan Yarbrough W |
|
1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.17 |
| Tim Hill |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.86 |
| Ben Williamson |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.50 |
| Chris Roycroft |
|
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12.96 |
| Craig Kimbrel |
|
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.78 |
| Camilo Doval |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4.58 |
| Jake Bird |
|
0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4.60 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice |
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan McMahon |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Cody Bellinger |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Grisham |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Williamson |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jasson Dominguez |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Schuemann |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Chandler Simpson |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Aranda |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Austin Wells |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Junior Caminero |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Caballero |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nick Fortes |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Yandy Diaz |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
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