MLB Final Intelligence
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds โ Recap
August 19, 2026 ยท Great American Ball Park ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Cincinnati Reds staged a mid-game rally to overcome an early deficit against the St. Louis Cardinals, securing a narrow victory despite a late push from St. Louis. Cincinnati's offense broke through in the sixth inning to take the lead and added insurance runs that proved essential in the contest. The Cardinals initially jumped ahead in the fourth inning. Church singled to drive in Burleson, and then Torres followed with a single that scored Church, putting St. Louis up 2-0. However, the Reds ignited their offense in the sixth. Sal Stewart launched a three-run home run to center field, bringing home McLain and De La Cruz, and giving Cincinnati its first lead of the game at 3-2. The Reds then extended their advantage in the eighth when McLain's bunt single resulted in Trevino scoring on a throwing error. Myers then added another run with an infield single, making it 5-2. Stewart's 422-foot blast in the sixth inning was the pivotal moment, flipping the score and providing the Reds with a lead they would not relinquish. This three-run frame, Cincinnati's largest scoring inning of the game, completely changed the momentum after the Cardinals had controlled the early proceedings. While Matthew Liberatore impressed for the Cardinals with nine strikeouts over six innings, surrendering only three earned runs, it was Stewart's clutch hit that ultimately shifted the balance. The additional two runs in the eighth inning proved critical, as the Cardinals attempted a comeback in the ninth. Walker hit a two-run homer, scoring Wetherholt and bringing St. Louis within a single run, but the rally stalled there. The Cincinnati Reds' ability to respond to an early deficit and capitalize on a key home run in the middle innings allowed them to hold off the Cardinals' late-game surge. This victory improves Cincinnati's record to 61-66, while St. Louis falls to 65-63.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Cincinnati Reds (-136, 55% implied) over the St. Louis Cardinals. Final: the Cincinnati Reds won 5โ4.
SportsFBI's model favored the Cincinnati Reds (66% confidence). Final: the Cincinnati Reds won 5โ4.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Cincinnati Reds scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore L |
|
6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5.04 |
| Chase Burns |
|
5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2.51 |
| Brock Burke |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.76 |
| Emilio Pagan S |
|
1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.30 |
| Luis Mey |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3.44 |
| Sam Moll W |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4.47 |
| Justin Bruihl |
|
1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3.50 |
| Luis Gastelum |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.49 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain |
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| JJ Wetherholt |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sal Stewart |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jordan Walker |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Dane Myers |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryan Torres |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Church |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Elly De La Cruz |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jose Trevino |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Blaze Jordan |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jose Fermin |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua Baez |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
More MLB Results โ Wednesday, August 19, 2026
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