โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

ARI 73-67
7 โ€“ 6
FINAL
BOS 75-64

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox โ€” Recap

August 19, 2026  ยท Fenway Park  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

Arizona Diamondbacks secured a 7-6 extra-inning victory over the Boston Red Sox, overcoming an early deficit and then pushing ahead in the tenth inning. The Diamondbacks strung together crucial hits in the middle frames to erase Boston's initial lead before sealing the win in extras, pulling off an upset against a Red Sox team favored by both pregame markets and SportsFBI's analytics. Boston jumped out to an early advantage with solo home runs from Sogard in the first inning and Duran in the third, establishing a 2-0 lead. The Diamondbacks answered in the fifth, as Waldschmidt's double scored Fernandez, followed by Moreno's double that brought home both Carroll and Waldschmidt, giving Arizona a 3-2 edge. Nootbaar then extended that lead in the sixth with a two-run homer, making it 5-2 for the visitors. The Red Sox refused to yield, promptly tying the game in the bottom of the sixth when Mickey Gasper connected for a three-run home run, scoring Abreu and Contreras to even the score at 5-5. This set the stage for extra innings, where Arizona's offense once again ignited. In the top of the tenth, Arenado's infield single scored Moreno, and Fernandez drew a walk to plate Kepler, providing a crucial two-run lead. Despite Contreras grounding out to bring home Rafaela in the bottom half, Boston could not complete their own comeback. Arizona's persistent offense, which managed to score multiple runs in crucial situations across various innings, proved to be the difference in a tightly contested affair. Their ability to respond to Boston's early power display and then regain the lead in the tenth inning ultimately propelled them to the upset win. The Diamondbacks now hold a 67-61 record, while the Red Sox fall to 68-59.

#MLB #Diamondbacks #RedSox #MickeyGasper

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Boston Red Sox (-149, 57% implied) over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 7โ€“6, pulling off the upset.

โšก Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Boston Red Sox (68% confidence). Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 7โ€“6, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Mickey Gasper
At the Plate
3 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Payton Tolle
On the Mound
5.0 IP, 6 K, 3 ER

Linescore

12345678910 RHE
ARI 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 2 7 100
BOS 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 6 90

Turning Point

The game turned in the 5th inning, when the Arizona Diamondbacks scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Brandon Pfaadt 5.2 7 5 5 0 8 3.39
Payton Tolle 5.0 6 3 3 2 6 3.08
Jonathan Loaisiga W 2.0 1 1 0 0 0 2.63
Juan Morillo 1.0 1 0 0 1 1 2.32
Aroldis Chapman 1.0 0 0 0 1 1 1.94
Erik Miller 1.0 1 0 0 1 2 2.25
Greg Weissert 1.0 2 2 2 1 1 4.10
Jovani Moran L 1.0 1 2 1 3 0 3.06
Tyron Guerrero 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2.94
Brandyn Garcia 0.2 0 0 0 1 1 2.48
Kevin Ginkel 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 3.86

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Jarren Duran 4 2 1 1 1 0 1
Nick Sogard 4 2 1 1 1 1 1
Jose Fernandez 4 2 0 1 1 1 1
Nolan Arenado 5 2 0 1 1 0 3
Ryan Waldschmidt 3 2 0 1 1 2 0
Willson Contreras 5 2 0 1 1 0 2
Mickey Gasper 3 1 1 3 1 0 1
Lars Nootbaar 2 1 1 2 1 0 0
Gabriel Moreno 4 1 0 2 1 1 2
Corbin Carroll 4 1 0 0 1 1 2
Ildemaro Vargas 5 1 0 0 0 0 1
Connor Wong 3 1 0 0 0 0 1
Wilyer Abreu 4 1 0 0 1 1 1

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