NBA Final Intelligence
Atlanta Hawks 108, Indiana Pacers 104 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Atlanta Hawks held off a late surge by the Indiana Pacers to secure a 108-104 victory, largely on the strength of a dominant first-half performance led by Nickeil Alexander-Walker. Atlanta established an early advantage, outscoring Indiana 37-29 in the opening quarter and extending their lead with a 31-27 second quarter, entering halftime with a comfortable 12-point cushion. Alexander-Walker was instrumental in building the Hawks' early lead, finishing the game with a game-high 34 points, complemented by four rebounds and four assists. His perimeter shooting was particularly impactful, converting nine of his 25 attempts from beyond the arc.
Despite Atlanta's strong start, the Pacers mounted a determined comeback effort in the second half. Indiana outscored the Hawks 23-19 in the third quarter, chipping away at the deficit, and continued their push with a 25-21 advantage in the final period. The Pacers' balanced scoring attack kept the pressure on Atlanta, narrowing the gap down the stretch. Jay Huff led the Pacers' charge with 22 points and eight rebounds, supported by Quenton Jackson, who added 20 points, seven rebounds, and three assists. Braden Smith contributed a double-double with 19 points and 10 assists, alongside four rebounds, while Kobe Brown chipped in 16 points and six rebounds, including two three-pointers.
Ultimately, the Hawks' significant first-half lead proved just enough to withstand Indiana's resilient effort. Alexander-Walker's prolific scoring allowed Atlanta to maintain control, even as the Pacers found their offensive rhythm late in the game. The analytical model from SportsFBI had predicted an Atlanta victory with 71% certainty, aligning with the final result.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Atlanta Hawks (71% confidence). It gave a 16% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 4 points.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
📊 Game Flow
Ahead for good: Luguentz Dort makes layup (Onyeka Okongwu assists) (Q1 5:24, ATL 22, IND 20).
Linescore
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 37 | 31 | 19 | 21 | 108 | |
| IND | 29 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 104 |
🧮 How They Scored
🎯 Shot Chart
- 31%Restricted Area5 of 16
- 32%Paint (non-RA)8 of 25
- 36%Mid-Range4 of 11
- 50%Left Corner 35 of 10
- 50%Right Corner 33 of 6
- 43%Above-break 315 of 35
- 73%Restricted Area19 of 26
- 53%Paint (non-RA)8 of 15
- 60%Mid-Range3 of 5
- 25%Left Corner 31 of 4
- 50%Right Corner 32 of 4
- 19%Above-break 35 of 26
● made · ✕ missed, from the official shot log.
Box Score
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka Okongwu F-C | 33 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | +2 |
| CJ McCollum G | 33 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-17 | 2-7 | 3-4 | +8 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker G | 31 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12-25 | 9-15 | 1-1 | +6 |
| Luguentz Dort G | 31 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | +11 |
| Dyson Daniels G | 31 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -1 |
| Aaron Wiggins G | 24 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | +7 |
| Corey Kispert F | 18 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | -9 |
| Asa Newell F | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -7 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | +2 |
| RayJ Dennis G | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | +1 |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker F | 45 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 2-3 | -11 |
| Braden Smith G | 42 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | -2 |
| Jalen Slawson F | 41 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | -8 |
| Jay Huff F-C | 40 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8-14 | 0-5 | 6-7 | +3 |
| Kobe Brown F | 38 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | -1 |
| Quenton Jackson G | 35 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 5-5 | -1 |
🔬 Advanced Stats
| Player | Role | MIN | PTS | TS% | USG% | NET | PIE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Starter | 31:23 | 34 | 66.8 | 34.1 | +8.8 | 16.5 |
| Luguentz Dort | Starter | 30:50 | 14 | 70.0 | 11.8 | +13.3 | 4.9 |
| CJ McCollum | Starter | 32:29 | 13 | 34.6 | 25.6 | +11.6 | 10.2 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Starter | 33:25 | 13 | 54.7 | 13.2 | +1.3 | 10.6 |
| Dyson Daniels | Starter | 30:30 | 6 | 30.0 | 14.5 | +0.1 | 7.0 |
| Corey Kispert | Bench | 18:05 | 14 | 77.8 | 24.4 | -21.7 | 18.9 |
| Aaron Wiggins | Bench | 23:57 | 7 | 28.1 | 22.6 | +15.8 | -1.2 |
| RayJ Dennis | Bench | 7:36 | 4 | 50.0 | 21.1 | +5.9 | 29.5 |
| Zuby Ejiofor | Bench | 14:35 | 3 | 37.5 | 13.9 | +12.5 | 7.4 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Asa Newell | Bench | 17:10 | 0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -16.7 | 0.9 |
| Kingston Flemings | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Player | Role | MIN | PTS | TS% | USG% | NET | PIE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Huff | Starter | 40:06 | 22 | 64.4 | 22.2 | +3.6 | 12.2 |
| Quenton Jackson | Starter | 34:30 | 20 | 54.9 | 28.2 | -2.8 | 13.4 |
| Braden Smith | Starter | 42:13 | 19 | 68.4 | 19.4 | -2.2 | 13.9 |
| Jarace Walker | Starter | 44:41 | 15 | 46.0 | 16.8 | -10.6 | 7.9 |
| Jalen Slawson | Starter | 40:39 | 12 | 47.0 | 16.0 | -10.2 | 7.2 |
| Kobe Brown | Bench | 37:51 | 16 | 67.3 | 14.8 | 0.0 | 11.1 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Pascal Siakam | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ivica Zubac | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Obi Toppin | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aaron Nesmith | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Nembhard | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL | Points | 21.5 | 34 | Over |
| Rebounds | 3.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Assists | 3.5 | 4 | Over | |
| 3-pointers | 3.5 | 9 | Over | |
| Reb + Ast | 7.5 | 8 | Over | |
| Jay Huff IND | Points | 14.5 | 22 | Over |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 8 | Over | |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Quenton Jackson IND | Points | 18.5 | 20 | Over |
| Rebounds | 3.5 | 7 | Over | |
| Assists | 6.5 | 3 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Reb + Ast | 10.5 | 10 | Under | |
| Jarace Walker IND | Points | 17.5 | 15 | Under |
| Rebounds | 7.5 | 7 | Under | |
| Assists | 3.5 | 3 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 2.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb | 25.5 | 22 | Under | |
| Reb + Ast | 11.5 | 10 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 29.5 | 25 | Under | |
| CJ McCollum ATL | Points | 17.5 | 13 | Under |
| Rebounds | 2.5 | 9 | Over | |
| Assists | 4.5 | 12 | Over | |
| 3-pointers | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 25.5 | 34 | Over | |
| Onyeka Okongwu ATL | Points | 14.5 | 13 | Under |
| Rebounds | 9.5 | 10 | Over | |
| Assists | 3.5 | 3 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Reb + Ast | 12.5 | 13 | Over | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 27.5 | 26 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
⚔️ Season Series & What's Next
- ATL 124@IND 129 Recap
- IND 116@ATL 132 Recap
- ATL 128@IND 108 Recap
- IND 118@ATL 120 Recap
- IND 118@ATL 124 Recap
🔍 Key Suspects
More NBA Results — Monday, November 2, 2026
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