NBA Final Intelligence

BOS 7-2
117 – 97
FINAL
MIL 1-8

Boston Celtics 117, Milwaukee Bucks 97 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Boston Celtics defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 117-97, validating the SportsFBI pregame model that leaned toward Boston at 77 percent. The opening period was tightly contested as Milwaukee edged out a 27-25 lead after the first quarter, backed by Kyle Kuzma's hot shooting. Kuzma finished with 27 points, four rebounds, and six three-pointers on 10-of-17 shooting for the Bucks, while Brayden Burries added 13 points, eight rebounds, and four assists.

The momentum decisively shifted in the second quarter when the Celtics outscored the Bucks 33-18 to take control of the contest. Paul George led Boston's offense with 27 points, three rebounds, and five three-pointers while shooting 11-of-18 from the field. Jayson Tatum contributed 21 points, four rebounds, and six assists, hitting five three-pointers of his own despite a 6-of-19 shooting night, and Neemias Queta chipped in 13 points, nine rebounds, and four assists on 6-of-11 shooting.

Boston maintained its separation after halftime by winning the third quarter 33-29 to extend the advantage further. The Celtics closed out the victory by outscoring Milwaukee 26-23 in the final period. The decisive middle quarters allowed Boston to comfortably secure the 20-point win.

#Celtics #Bucks #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Boston Celtics (77% confidence). It gave a 20% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 20 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · BOS -13.5 BOS covered Won by 20
Total · 221.5 Under 214 combined
Moneyline BOS -850 · MIL +590 BOS favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (MIL) +12.5+13.5 +1
Total 224.5221.5 -3
Moneyline (MIL) +490+590 +100

Standouts

Top Scorer · MIL
27 PTS, 4 REB, 0 AST, 6 3PM · 10-17 FG
Scoring · BOS
27 PTS, 3 REB, 1 AST, 5 3PM · 11-18 FG
Scoring · BOS
21 PTS, 4 REB, 6 AST, 5 3PM · 6-19 FG
Season highs
Kyle Kuzma · Season-high 27 pointsKyle Kuzma · Season-high 6 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

BOS 23 largest lead Q3 8:38 (BOS 70, MIL 47) · 18-0 run, Q1 3:27–Q2 10:07
MIL 14 largest lead Q1 7:05 (BOS 6, MIL 20) · 11-0 run, Q1 8:46–Q1 7:05
Swings 1 lead changes Tied 0 times

Ahead for good: Paul George makes 23-foot three point jumper (Derrick White assists) (Q2 11:21, BOS 28, MIL 27).

Linescore

1234 T
BOS 25333326 117
MIL 27182923 97

🧮 How They Scored

BOSMIL
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
56.8%Effective FG%53.8%
9.0%Turnover %14.1%
42.6%Offensive rebound %24.3%
0.147Free-throw rate0.177

Box Score

Boston Celtics

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Payton Pritchard G 2912541004-124-110-0+29
Jayson Tatum F 2921461116-195-114-4+5
Paul George F 28273120211-185-100-0+16
Derrick White G 279372214-101-50-0+7
Sam Hauser F 237310013-51-30-0+15
Neemias Queta C 2213940016-110-01-20
Baylor Scheierman G 197102012-61-42-2+15
Mitchell Robinson C 1812724106-60-00-2+19
Jordan Walsh G 110300010-20-10-0+3
Mike Conley G 103310011-21-20-0-11
Hugo González G 100210000-10-10-00
Luka Garza C 94500101-20-02-4+3
Ron Harper Jr. F 42000011-10-00-0-1

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Kyle Kuzma F 31274012110-176-131-2-4
Brayden Burries G 2913840115-111-42-2-12
Tyler Herro G 2713120015-121-52-2-3
Myles Turner C-F 243570121-80-31-1-3
Nate Ament F 2312511015-92-40-0-14
Jaime Jaquez Jr. G 234221001-30-22-2-6
Ryan Rollins G 207561032-42-31-1-7
A.J. Green G 185110112-61-50-0-21
Ousmane Dieng F 1510100003-32-22-2-2
Jericho Sims F 152200011-30-10-0-2
Kel'el Ware C 90011010-20-00-0-15
Kasparas Jakučionis G 71200020-10-11-2-11

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Paul George BOS Points17.527 Over
Rebounds4.53 Under
Assists3.51 Under
3-pointers2.55 Over
Pts + Reb22.530 Over
Reb + Ast8.54 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast26.531 Over
Kyle Kuzma MIL Points9.527 Over
Rebounds4.54 Under
Assists2.50 Under
Pts + Reb14.531 Over
Jayson Tatum BOS Points26.521 Under
Rebounds7.54 Under
Assists6.56 Under
3-pointers2.55 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast40.531 Under
Tyler Herro MIL Points19.513 Under
Rebounds4.51 Under
Assists4.52 Under
3-pointers2.51 Under
Reb + Ast8.53 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast28.516 Under
Neemias Queta BOS Points9.513 Over
Rebounds7.59 Over
Assists1.54 Over
Reb + Ast8.513 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast18.526 Over
Brayden Burries MIL Points11.513 Over
Rebounds4.58 Over
Assists2.54 Over
3-pointers1.51 Under
Reb + Ast7.512 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast18.525 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series BOS 2 – 0 MIL
Last 30 meetings · since 2020-21 BOS 20 – 10 MIL
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Boston Celtics 8-2 W3 L10 8-2 Next game: @ PHI · Tue, Nov 10
Milwaukee Bucks 1-9 L6 L10 1-9 Next game: @ NYK · Tue, Nov 10

🔍 Key Suspects Results

5 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

BOS — Away
Payton Pritchard Payton Pritchard G Assists 3.5 OVER HIT Actual 4
Neemias Queta Neemias Queta C Points 9.5 OVER HIT Actual 13
MIL — Home
Brayden Burries G Pts+Reb+Ast 18.5 UNDER MISS Actual 25
Tyler Herro Tyler Herro G Assists 4.5 UNDER HIT Actual 2
Ryan Rollins Ryan Rollins G Rebounds 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 5
Myles Turner Myles Turner C-F Assists 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 7
Kyle Kuzma Kyle Kuzma F Points 9.5 UNDER MISS Actual 27
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Jaime Jaquez Jr. G Threes 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 0

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