NBA Final Intelligence

CLE 6-6
121 – 133
FINAL
MIA 5-6

Cleveland Cavaliers 121, Miami Heat 133 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Miami Heat defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 133-121, overcoming a SportsFBI pregame model that leaned 52% toward Cleveland. Miami established a narrow edge in the opening period, taking a 29-27 lead after the first quarter. Cleveland responded in the second frame by outscoring Miami 30-25, sending the Cavaliers into halftime with a 57-54 advantage.

The offensive pace accelerated significantly after the intermission as Miami edged Cleveland 38-34 in the third quarter to reclaim a 92-91 lead heading into the final period. The Heat then pulled away decisively in the fourth, outscoring the Cavaliers 41-30 to secure the 12-point victory.

Miami's offense was powered by dominant performances from Bam Adebayo, who recorded 37 points, 14 rebounds, and 3 assists on 13-of-19 shooting with two threes, and Giannis Antetokounmpo, who matched him with 37 points, 9 rebounds, and 2 assists on 15-of-20 shooting including one three. Davion Mitchell orchestrated the Heat attack with 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 17 assists while hitting three triples. Donovan Mitchell led Cleveland with 25 points, 4 rebounds, and 7 assists, sinking five shots from beyond the arc on 9-of-21 overall shooting, while Tyrese Proctor added 22 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists with five threes on 7-of-9 shooting.

#Heat #Cavaliers #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Cleveland Cavaliers (52% confidence). It gave a 11% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 12 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · MIA -2.5 MIA covered Won by 12
Total · 235.5 Over 254 combined
Moneyline CLE +120 · MIA -142 MIA favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (MIA) -2.5-2.5 No move
Total 236.5235.5 -1
Moneyline (MIA) -132-142 -10

Standouts

Top Scorer · MIA
37 PTS, 14 REB, 3 AST, 2 3PM · 13-19 FG
Scoring · MIA
37 PTS, 9 REB, 2 AST, 1 3PM · 15-20 FG
Scoring · CLE
25 PTS, 4 REB, 7 AST, 5 3PM · 9-21 FG
Season highs
Bam Adebayo · Season-high 37 pointsGiannis Antetokounmpo · Season-high 37 pointsTyrese Proctor · Season-high 22 pointsRyan Conwell · Season-high 20 pointsDavion Mitchell · Season-high 17 assistsBam Adebayo · Season-high 14 reboundsTyrese Proctor · Season-high 5 threesJaylon Tyson · Season-high 4 threesRyan Conwell · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

CLE 6 largest lead Q2 3:56 (CLE 51, MIA 45) · 12-0 run, Q2 8:09–Q2 5:11
MIA 13 largest lead Q4 6:46 (CLE 97, MIA 110) · 11-0 run, Q1 0:33–Q2 10:52
Swings 12 lead changes Tied 8 times

Ahead for good: Andrew Wiggins makes 27-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists) (Q3 0:34, CLE 89, MIA 92).

Linescore

1234 T
CLE 27303430 121
MIA 29253841 133

🧮 How They Scored

CLEMIA
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
59.3%Effective FG%59.1%
8.5%Turnover %7.9%
17.5%Offensive rebound %31.0%
0.291Free-throw rate0.420

Box Score

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
James Harden G 3520683125-132-88-8-7
Donovan Mitchell G 3325470039-215-122-4-20
Jarrett Allen C 329811113-40-03-4-8
Peyton Watson G 304420022-100-50-0-6
Jaylon Tyson G-F 3016311006-114-70-0-13
Tyrese Proctor G 2722431007-95-73-40
Meleek Thomas G 1812031005-82-50-00
Thomas Bryant C 169111003-80-33-5-4
Craig Porter G 100220100-00-00-0-1
Mario Hezonja F 94400012-20-00-0-1

Miami Heat

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Davion Mitchell G 39225170117-143-75-6+22
Bam Adebayo C-F 383714300013-192-39-10+23
Ryan Conwell G 3320520026-124-94-4+7
Andrew Wiggins F-G 328340002-51-33-4+11
Giannis Antetokounmpo F 31379201415-201-26-11+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. G 204321001-60-22-2-2
Myron Gardner F 190420000-30-30-0-2
Bobby Portis F 155320012-61-30-0-1
Simone Fontecchio F 70020010-00-00-0+11
Dru Smith G 60010000-30-20-0-11

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series CLE 0 – 1 MIA
Last 22 meetings · since 2020-21 CLE 9 – 13 MIA
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Cleveland Cavaliers 6-7 L1 L10 4-6 Next game: vs DAL · Sat, Nov 14
Miami Heat 6-6 W3 L10 6-4 Next game: vs DET · Sat, Nov 14

🔍 Key Suspects Results

3 of 3 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

CLE — Away
Mario Hezonja F Points 7.5 UNDER HIT Actual 4
Jarrett Allen Jarrett Allen C Assists 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
MIA — Home
Andrew Wiggins Andrew Wiggins F-G Points 12.5 UNDER HIT Actual 8

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