NBA Final Intelligence

MEM 7-4
142 – 111
FINAL
NOP 4-8

Memphis Grizzlies 142, New Orleans Pelicans 111 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Memphis Grizzlies defeated the New Orleans Pelicans 142-111, outperforming a pregame SportsFBI model that had New Orleans leaning at 57%. Memphis established early control in the first quarter, taking a 35-28 lead. The Grizzlies maintained their offensive momentum through the second period, extending their advantage to 70-58 by halftime after another 35-point quarter.

Memphis continued to pull away in the third quarter, matching its first-half output with a third consecutive 35-point frame to build a 105-86 cushion. Jerami Grant led the Grizzlies with 22 points, hitting three 3-pointers on 7-of-10 shooting, while Ty Jerome added 17 points and 9 assists with two 3-pointers.

The Grizzlies capped the blowout by outscoring the Pelicans 37-25 in the fourth quarter. New Orleans received strong efforts from Saddiq Bey, who posted 30 points, 10 rebounds, and six 3-pointers on 11-of-20 shooting, alongside Zion Williamson's 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists, but the defense could not stem the relentless Memphis scoring flow.

#MemphisGrizzlies #NewOrleansPelicans #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the New Orleans Pelicans (57% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 31 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · MEM -3.5 MEM covered Won by 31
Total · 235.5 Over 253 combined
Moneyline MEM -168 · NOP +142 MEM favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (NOP) +4.5+3.5 -1
Total 233.5235.5 +2
Moneyline (NOP) +146+142 -4

Standouts

Top Scorer · NOP
30 PTS, 10 REB, 0 AST, 6 3PM · 11-20 FG
Scoring · NOP
22 PTS, 5 REB, 4 AST · 7-16 FG
Scoring · MEM
22 PTS, 1 REB, 1 AST, 3 3PM · 7-10 FG
Season highs
Saddiq Bey · Season-high 30 pointsJerami Grant · Season-high 22 pointsTaylor Hendricks · Season-high 12 reboundsSaddiq Bey · Season-high 10 reboundsTy Jerome · Season-high 9 assistsSaddiq Bey · Season-high 6 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MEM 31 largest lead Q4 1:24 (MEM 136, NOP 105) · 13-0 run, Q2 4:43–Q2 3:49
NOP 3 largest lead Q1 9:33 (MEM 6, NOP 9) · 10-0 run, Q3 8:19–Q3 6:01
Swings 5 lead changes Tied 1 time

Ahead for good: Cameron Boozer makes 1-foot layup (Ty Jerome assists) (Q1 8:48, MEM 10, NOP 9).

Linescore

1234 T
MEM 35353537 142
NOP 28302825 111

🧮 How They Scored

MEMNOP
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
58.2%Effective FG%45.4%
9.9%Turnover %11.9%
25.0%Offensive rebound %20.0%
0.451Free-throw rate0.425

Box Score

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Cedric Coward G 3014761005-130-54-4+13
Ty Jerome G 2917392036-172-73-3-5
Jaylen Wells F 2711211023-92-83-3+9
Jerami Grant F 2622110017-103-65-5+24
Cameron Boozer F 2512932124-91-23-4+4
Cam Spencer G 2414250013-53-55-5+35
GG Jackson F 2214643114-113-53-4+30
Isaiah Stewart F-C 2012500415-70-22-2-5
Taylor Hendricks F 19101221013-52-32-3+25
Javon Small G 1510240103-42-22-2+20
Olivier-Maxence Prosper F 26100001-10-04-6+3
Kris Murray F 10100000-00-00-0+2

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Saddiq Bey F 353010001011-206-92-3-17
Jeremiah Fears G 3418571226-150-56-6-24
Zion Williamson F 3322543107-160-18-8-15
Herbert Jones F 328221114-110-50-1-9
Derik Queen C 2310621254-80-12-3-20
Jordan Poole G 2113250001-71-610-10-13
Karlo Matkovic F-C 191300200-20-21-2-24
DeAndre Jordan C 176811022-30-02-2+5
Bennedict Mathurin G-F 100000010-10-00-0-6
Malik Dia F 42000001-30-10-0-8
AJ Johnson G 41000010-00-01-2-8
Julian Reese F 40200000-00-00-0-8
Jaron Pierre Jr. G 40001020-10-10-0-8

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series MEM 1 – 1 NOP
Last 25 meetings · since 2020-21 MEM 15 – 10 NOP
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Memphis Grizzlies 8-4 W1 L10 6-4 Next game: vs BKN · Sat, Nov 14
New Orleans Pelicans 4-9 L5 L10 4-6 Next game: vs DEN · Sat, Nov 14

🔍 Key Suspects Results

5 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

MEM — Away
Cam Spencer Cam Spencer G Points 8.5 OVER HIT Actual 14
Cedric Coward Cedric Coward G Points 13.5 OVER HIT Actual 14
Jaylen Wells Jaylen Wells F Rebounds 2.5 OVER MISS Actual 2
NOP — Home
Saddiq Bey Saddiq Bey F Rebounds 4.5 UNDER MISS Actual 10
Bennedict Mathurin Bennedict Mathurin G-F Rebounds 3.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Jeremiah Fears Jeremiah Fears G Assists 5.5 UNDER MISS Actual 7
Derik Queen Derik Queen C Points 10 HIT Actual 10
Jordan Poole Jordan Poole G Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1

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