NBA Final Intelligence

NOP 2-4
135 – 134
FINAL
MEM 6-0

New Orleans Pelicans 135, Memphis Grizzlies 134 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The New Orleans Pelicans outlasted the Memphis Grizzlies in a high-scoring overtime thriller, securing a 135-134 victory. Ty Jerome led all scorers with 40 points for Memphis, while Zion Williamson, Karlo Matkovic, and Derik Queen all provided significant offense for New Orleans in the narrow win.

New Orleans established an early advantage, closing the first quarter up 34-31. However, the Grizzlies responded strongly in the second period, outscoring the Pelicans 31-25 to take a 62-59 lead into halftime. Jerome started to find his rhythm for Memphis, while Williamson contributed steadily for New Orleans with 25 points and 11 rebounds.

The Pelicans recaptured momentum in the third quarter, fueled by a 41-point outburst, to build a 100-95 lead. Matkovic was particularly efficient, connecting on five three-pointers over the game as part of his 25 points. Memphis clawed its way back in the fourth, holding New Orleans to 24 points while scoring 29, forcing overtime. Cameron Boozer's 18 points, nine rebounds, and five assists helped the Grizzlies' effort to erase the deficit. SportsFBI's model had leaned towards a 63% probability of a Memphis win pregame.

In the decisive extra period, the Pelicans edged the Grizzlies 11-10. Derik Queen's 20 points, seven rebounds, and five assists proved crucial in New Orleans' eventual victory. Jerome's 40 points, five rebounds, and five assists for Memphis were not enough to overcome the Pelicans' balanced scoring attack.

#PelicansGrizzlies #NBAOvertime #TyJerome40 #ZionWilliamson #KarloMatkovic

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Memphis Grizzlies (63% confidence). It gave a 13% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 1 point.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · MEM -5.5 NOP covered Won by 1
Total · 231.5 Over 269 combined
Moneyline NOP +184 · MEM -220 MEM favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (MEM) -6.5-5.5 +1
Total 236.5231.5 -5
Moneyline (MEM) -215-220 -5

Standouts

Top Scorer · MEM
Ty Jerome
40 PTS, 5 REB, 5 AST, 5 3PM · 14-22 FG
Scoring · NOP
Zion Williamson
25 PTS, 11 REB, 4 AST · 9-15 FG
Scoring · NOP
Karlo Matkovic
25 PTS, 6 REB, 1 AST, 5 3PM · 9-13 FG
Season highs
Karlo Matkovic · Season-high 25 pointsDerik Queen · Season-high 20 pointsZion Williamson · Season-high 11 reboundsKarlo Matkovic · Season-high 5 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

NOP 10 largest lead Q2 8:30 (NOP 41, MEM 31) · 9-0 run, Q1 7:51–Q1 6:18
MEM 7 largest lead Q3 8:22 (NOP 73, MEM 80) · 11-0 run, Q4 1:43–OT 4:03
Swings 16 lead changes Tied 8 times

Ahead for good: Jeremiah Fears makes free throw 2 of 2 (OT 0:07, NOP 135, MEM 134).

Linescore

1234OT T
NOP 3425412411 135
MEM 3131332910 134

🧮 How They Scored

NOPMEM
62Points in the paint54
17Fast-break points20
22Second-chance points9
21Points off turnovers7
46Bench points44
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
54.5%Effective FG%61.5%
6.5%Turnover %13.5%
26.9%Offensive rebound %25.0%
0.297Free-throw rate0.297

🎯 Shot Chart

New Orleans Pelicans48/101 FG
Trey Murphy III: missed 1 ftZion Williamson: made 9 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 23 ftTrey Murphy III: missed 7 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 24 ftZion Williamson: missed 9 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 0 ftTrey Murphy III: missed 21 ftHerbert Jones: missed 25 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 0 ftJeremiah Fears: made 1 ftHerbert Jones: made 23 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 0 ftZion Williamson: missed 4 ftTrey Murphy III: missed 25 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 0 ftTrendon Watford: missed 1 ftTrendon Watford: made 1 ftTrey Murphy III: made 1 ftJeremiah Fears: made 3 ftBennedict Mathurin: made 19 ftDerik Queen: made 1 ftDerik Queen: missed 5 ftDerik Queen: made 0 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 2 ftBennedict Mathurin: missed 20 ftHerbert Jones: missed 2 ftBennedict Mathurin: made 0 ftDerik Queen: made 7 ftDerik Queen: made 6 ftSaddiq Bey: made 9 ftBennedict Mathurin: missed 11 ftZion Williamson: made 4 ftDerik Queen: missed 9 ftDerik Queen: made 24 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 3 ftZion Williamson: missed 2 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 23 ftZion Williamson: made 5 ftZion Williamson: missed 2 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 3 ftKarlo Matkovic: missed 5 ftBryce McGowens: missed 1 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 24 ftTrey Murphy III: made 0 ftHerbert Jones: missed 24 ftDerik Queen: made 2 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 24 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 22 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 23 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 26 ftZion Williamson: made 0 ftHerbert Jones: made 22 ftKarlo Matkovic: missed 24 ftJeremiah Fears: made 3 ftHerbert Jones: missed 23 ftHerbert Jones: made 25 ftTrey Murphy III: made 26 ftKarlo Matkovic: missed 23 ftTrey Murphy III: made 22 ftTrey Murphy III: made 25 ftZion Williamson: made 0 ftJeremiah Fears: made 1 ftSaddiq Bey: made 11 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 10 ftDerik Queen: missed 12 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 10 ftDerik Queen: missed 6 ftSaddiq Bey: made 1 ftDerik Queen: missed 25 ftDerik Queen: made 2 ftSaddiq Bey: made 0 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 16 ftTrendon Watford: missed 24 ftDerik Queen: missed 5 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 25 ftSaddiq Bey: made 0 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 25 ftKarlo Matkovic: missed 23 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 0 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 25 ftJeremiah Fears: made 1 ftTrey Murphy III: missed 24 ftSaddiq Bey: made 23 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 25 ftZion Williamson: made 3 ftSaddiq Bey: made 26 ftKarlo Matkovic: made 23 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 15 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 3 ftZion Williamson: missed 1 ftTrey Murphy III: missed 6 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 25 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 23 ftZion Williamson: made 1 ftZion Williamson: made 3 ftHerbert Jones: missed 23 ftZion Williamson: made 16 ftJeremiah Fears: missed 23 ftSaddiq Bey: missed 24 ftZion Williamson: missed 11 ft
  • 68%Restricted Area25 of 37
  • 32%Paint (non-RA)6 of 19
  • 38%Mid-Range3 of 8
  • 43%Left Corner 33 of 7
  • 63%Right Corner 35 of 8
  • 27%Above-break 36 of 22
Memphis Grizzlies47/91 FG
Jaylen Wells: missed 24 ftJaylen Wells: missed 27 ftCameron Boozer: made 9 ftTy Jerome: made 4 ftJaylen Wells: made 0 ftZach Edey: made 0 ftJaylen Wells: made 1 ftTy Jerome: missed 1 ftTy Jerome: missed 16 ftCameron Boozer: missed 25 ftCam Spencer: made 10 ftGG Jackson: missed 24 ftCam Spencer: missed 10 ftCam Spencer: made 24 ftGG Jackson: made 0 ftIsaiah Stewart: missed 7 ftCedric Coward: made 0 ftIsaiah Stewart: missed 25 ftCam Spencer: made 4 ftIsaiah Stewart: made 24 ftGG Jackson: made 0 ftKris Murray: missed 23 ftJerami Grant: made 22 ftTy Jerome: missed 14 ftZach Edey: missed 1 ftGG Jackson: missed 1 ftTy Jerome: missed 10 ftGG Jackson: missed 25 ftZach Edey: missed 8 ftTy Jerome: made 22 ftTy Jerome: made 25 ftCameron Boozer: made 24 ftJaylen Wells: made 25 ftJaylen Wells: missed 25 ftCam Spencer: made 25 ftJerami Grant: missed 9 ftIsaiah Stewart: made 1 ftCameron Boozer: missed 25 ftJaylen Wells: made 24 ftCam Spencer: missed 24 ftJerami Grant: missed 7 ftJerami Grant: made 0 ftCameron Boozer: made 13 ftJaylen Wells: made 2 ftJaylen Wells: made 23 ftCameron Boozer: missed 25 ftZach Edey: made 1 ftCameron Boozer: missed 1 ftIsaiah Stewart: made 0 ftCedric Coward: made 24 ftTy Jerome: made 26 ftTy Jerome: made 27 ftCam Spencer: missed 25 ftCameron Boozer: made 1 ftGG Jackson: missed 23 ftGG Jackson: made 4 ftCedric Coward: made 25 ftJerami Grant: made 23 ftCedric Coward: missed 24 ftIsaiah Stewart: made 24 ftKris Murray: missed 1 ftCameron Boozer: missed 9 ftTy Jerome: made 9 ftGG Jackson: missed 23 ftJerami Grant: missed 25 ftTy Jerome: missed 25 ftJerami Grant: missed 23 ftJerami Grant: made 0 ftZach Edey: missed 2 ftZach Edey: missed 3 ftCameron Boozer: made 23 ftIsaiah Stewart: missed 3 ftCedric Coward: missed 25 ftJaylen Wells: missed 23 ftTy Jerome: missed 12 ftIsaiah Stewart: missed 0 ftIsaiah Stewart: made 0 ftTy Jerome: made 4 ftIsaiah Stewart: made 0 ftCedric Coward: missed 23 ftTy Jerome: made 10 ftTy Jerome: made 26 ftTy Jerome: made 10 ftTy Jerome: made 10 ftTy Jerome: made 30 ftJaylen Wells: missed 23 ftTy Jerome: missed 5 ftCameron Boozer: missed 9 ftTy Jerome: made 2 ftTy Jerome: made 1 ftTy Jerome: missed 14 ft
  • 65%Restricted Area17 of 26
  • 50%Paint (non-RA)10 of 20
  • 40%Mid-Range2 of 5
  • 38%Left Corner 33 of 8
  • 33%Right Corner 31 of 3
  • 48%Above-break 314 of 29

● made · ✕ missed, from the official shot log.

Box Score

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Trey Murphy III F 4018550005-113-55-5-4
Jeremiah Fears G 3912470045-170-62-2-1
Saddiq Bey F 3618511007-162-82-2-7
Zion Williamson F 35251140009-150-07-9+3
Karlo Matkovic F-C 2925612119-135-82-4+7
Herbert Jones F 289431023-83-70-0+9
Derik Queen C 2420752117-131-25-6-6
Trendon Watford F 164410101-30-12-2+5
Bennedict Mathurin G-F 134001002-40-00-0+5
Bryce McGowens G 60101000-10-00-0-6

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Cameron Boozer F 3818950235-112-56-7-2
Ty Jerome G 37405520414-225-67-8+3
Jaylen Wells F 3416331006-113-81-1+3
Cedric Coward G 3110930003-62-52-4+8
Isaiah Stewart F-C 2814520226-102-30-0+9
Jerami Grant F 2411420114-82-41-20
Kris Murray F 200411200-20-10-0-6
Zach Edey C 196910212-60-02-2-10
Cam Spencer G 1913170034-72-43-3+3
GG Jackson F 166010023-80-40-0-13
Jahmai Mashack G 00001000-00-00-00

🔬 Advanced Stats

New Orleans PelicansTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact
PlayerRoleMINPTSTS%USG%NETPIE
Zion Williamson Starter 35:212565.920.7-1.414.2
Karlo Matkovic Starter 28:482584.722.9+9.917.0
Trey Murphy III Starter 39:471868.213.5-6.410.0
Jeremiah Fears Starter 38:271233.623.7-4.70.5
Herbert Jones Starter 27:44956.315.6+21.36.6
Derik Queen Bench 24:052063.931.5-7.221.4
Saddiq Bey Bench 36:111853.321.0-9.69.9
Trendon Watford Bench 15:37451.511.1+17.89.8
Bennedict Mathurin Bench 13:13450.013.8+22.64.3
DeAndre Jordan Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Bryce McGowens Bench 5:4700.05.9-46.2-5.0
AJ Johnson Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Julian Reese Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Memphis GrizzliesTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact
PlayerRoleMINPTSTS%USG%NETPIE
Ty Jerome Starter 36:344078.434.9+7.224.7
Cameron Boozer Starter 37:511863.919.8+0.69.4
Jaylen Wells Starter 33:511669.914.5+8.19.0
Cedric Coward Starter 30:381064.411.6+14.88.1
Zach Edey Starter 19:24643.618.2-17.74.1
Isaiah Stewart Bench 27:341470.019.7+18.56.2
Cam Spencer Bench 19:101378.123.4+1.214.4
Jerami Grant Bench 24:051161.917.50.010.0
GG Jackson Bench 16:13637.527.8-36.50.0
Kris Murray Bench 19:2900.04.4-11.84.8
Taylor Hendricks Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Olivier-Maxence Prosper Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Jahmai Mashack Bench 0:1100.00.00.00.0
Karim Lopez Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Carson Cooper Bench 000.00.00.00.0

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Ty Jerome MEM Points21.540 Over
Rebounds3.55 Over
Assists6.55 Under
3-pointers2.55 Over
Pts + Reb25.545 Over
Reb + Ast9.510 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast31.550 Over
Zion Williamson NOP Points20.525 Over
Rebounds5.511 Over
Assists2.54 Over
Reb + Ast8.515 Over
Karlo Matkovic NOP Points6.525 Over
Rebounds4.56 Over
3-pointers0.55 Over
Saddiq Bey NOP Points13.518 Over
Rebounds4.55 Over
Assists1.51 Under
3-pointers1.52 Over
Trey Murphy III NOP Points17.518 Over
Rebounds4.55 Over
Assists3.55 Over
3-pointers2.53 Over
Pts + Reb22.523 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast26.528 Over
Cameron Boozer MEM Points16.518 Over
Rebounds9.59 Under
Assists5.55 Under
3-pointers1.52 Over
Reb + Ast14.514 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast31.532 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series NOP 1 – 0 MEM
Last 24 meetings · since 2020-21 NOP 10 – 14 MEM
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
New Orleans Pelicans 3-4 W3 L10 3-4 Next game: vs UTA · Wed, Nov 4
Memphis Grizzlies 6-1 L1 L10 6-1 Next game: vs IND · Wed, Nov 4

🔍 Key Suspects Results

6 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

NOP — Away
Herbert Jones Herbert Jones F Points 8.5 UNDER MISS Actual 9
Bennedict Mathurin Bennedict Mathurin G-F Rebounds 3.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Saddiq Bey Saddiq Bey F Assists 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 1
Jeremiah Fears Jeremiah Fears G Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
MEM — Home
Isaiah Stewart Isaiah Stewart F-C Points 10 HIT Actual 14
Jerami Grant Jerami Grant F Points 11.5 UNDER HIT Actual 11
Zach Edey Zach Edey C Rebounds 7.5 OVER HIT Actual 9
Cedric Coward Cedric Coward G Assists 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 3

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