Timberwolves 112, Bucks 100 — NBA Recap

📰Game Recap

The Minnesota Timberwolves secured a 112-100 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks, with LaMelo Ball leading the charge and setting the tone early. Ball scored 34 points, including six three-pointers, alongside six rebounds and three assists, as Minnesota jumped out to a significant 29-18 lead in the first quarter. Ayo Dosunmu also contributed to the Timberwolves' strong start, finishing the game with 19 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists. Analytics from SportsFBI had favored Minnesota pregame at 91%, a projection that proved accurate.

Milwaukee mounted a determined comeback in the second quarter, outscoring the Timberwolves 29-19 to narrow the deficit to just one point by halftime. Tyler Herro paced the Bucks with 21 points, four threes, six rebounds, and three assists, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. added 19 points and eight rebounds, helping Milwaukee claw back. However, Minnesota quickly reasserted control in the third quarter, extending their lead slightly with a 32-29 advantage in the period, preventing the Bucks from fully overcoming their early deficit.

The Timberwolves solidified their lead in the final quarter, once again outscoring the Bucks 32-24 to pull away definitively. LaMelo Ball's offensive prowess continued to be a factor, complemented by Jaden McDaniels, who contributed 13 points, six rebounds, and three assists, including two three-pointers. Minnesota's consistent scoring across multiple quarters ultimately proved too much for Milwaukee to overcome, securing the 12-point victory.

#MinnesotaTimberwolves #MilwaukeeBucks #LaMeloBall #NBAStats #GameRecap

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Minnesota Timberwolves (91% confidence). It gave a 39% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 12 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · MIN -11.5 MIN covered Won by 12

Total · 232.5 Under 212 combined

Moneyline MIL +400 · MIN -520 MIN favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (MIN) -10.5-11.5 -1

Total 233.5232.5 -1

Moneyline (MIN) -480-520 -40

Standouts

Top Scorer · MIN

LaMelo Ball

34 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST, 6 3PM · 12-21 FG

Scoring · MIL

Tyler Herro

21 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST, 4 3PM · 8-18 FG

Scoring · MIN

Ayo Dosunmu

19 PTS, 12 REB, 8 AST, 1 3PM · 8-18 FG

Season highs

LaMelo Ball · Season-high 34 pointsAyo Dosunmu · Season-high 12 reboundsA.J. Green · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MIL 3 largest lead Q3 9:38 (MIL 53, MIN 50) · 9-0 run, Q1 7:35–Q1 6:44

MIN 15 largest lead Q4 4:59 (MIL 81, MIN 96) · 10-0 run, Q1 11:06–Q1 9:31

Swings 5 lead changes Tied 3 times

Ahead for good: Trey Lyles makes free throw 2 of 2 (Q3 3:00, MIL 69, MIN 70).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
MIL	18	29	29	24		100
MIN	29	19	32	32		112

🧮 How They Scored

MILMIN

42Points in the paint42

12Fast-break points12

23Second-chance points17

16Points off turnovers20

36Bench points28

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

46.0%Effective FG%51.0%

13.3%Turnover %9.3%

32.1%Offensive rebound %37.5%

0.121Free-throw rate0.271

🎯 Shot Chart

Milwaukee Bucks38/99 FG

59%Restricted Area17 of 29
31%Paint (non-RA)4 of 13
25%Mid-Range2 of 8
25%Left Corner 32 of 8
40%Right Corner 32 of 5
31%Above-break 311 of 36

Minnesota Timberwolves41/96 FG

46%Restricted Area17 of 37
44%Paint (non-RA)4 of 9
80%Mid-Range4 of 5
86%Left Corner 36 of 7
25%Right Corner 31 of 4
26%Above-break 39 of 34

● made · ✕ missed, from the official shot log.

Box Score

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Myles Turner C-F	31	13	5	2	0	5	1	5-10	3-6	0-0	-14
Tyler Herro G	31	21	6	3	3	0	2	8-18	4-11	1-2	-10
Jaime Jaquez Jr. G	28	19	8	2	1	0	3	8-17	2-4	1-1	-14
Brayden Burries G	26	9	9	1	0	0	1	4-15	1-7	0-0	-4
A.J. Green G	24	13	3	3	0	0	0	4-8	4-8	1-1	+12
Kyle Kuzma F	22	2	2	3	1	0	0	1-6	0-4	0-0	-22
Kasparas Jakučionis G	22	7	5	7	0	0	4	2-7	0-3	3-4	-8
Ryan Rollins G	17	10	3	2	0	1	3	4-11	1-5	1-2	-2
Kel'el Ware C	17	2	9	0	0	2	1	1-6	0-1	0-0	+2
Jericho Sims F	15	0	2	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	+2
Nate Ament F	8	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	0-0	2-2	-2

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Ayo Dosunmu G	37	19	12	8	1	1	2	8-18	1-6	2-2	+15
LaMelo Ball G	33	34	6	3	1	0	3	12-21	6-13	4-5	+17
Jonathan Kuminga F	33	8	10	3	0	4	4	3-8	2-4	0-0	+15
Rudy Gobert C	31	10	10	1	0	1	0	3-6	0-1	4-12	0
Jaden McDaniels F	29	13	6	3	0	0	2	5-14	2-4	1-3	+17
Trey Lyles F	21	12	4	0	0	0	0	4-9	2-7	2-2	+4
Jaylen Clark G	21	4	2	0	2	0	0	1-6	1-5	1-2	+3
Nah'Shon Hyland G	14	10	1	3	2	1	0	4-9	2-5	0-0	-6
Joan Beringer F	14	2	7	2	1	2	0	1-4	0-0	0-0	+10
Cody Williams F	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	-15

🔬 Advanced Stats

Milwaukee BucksTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact

Player	Role	MIN	PTS	TS%	USG%	NET	PIE
Tyler Herro	Starter	30:40	21	55.6	26.3	-15.4	13.4
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	Starter	28:07	19	54.5	27.0	-21.2	9.7
Myles Turner	Starter	30:59	13	65.0	14.3	-19.8	9.5
Brayden Burries	Starter	25:58	9	30.0	22.9	-8.9	5.4
Kyle Kuzma	Starter	22:07	2	16.7	10.5	-48.4	3.2
A.J. Green	Bench	23:32	13	77.0	13.1	+29.1	12.6
Ryan Rollins	Bench	17:20	10	42.1	35.7	-0.9	8.6
Kasparas Jakučionis	Bench	22:02	7	40.0	22.2	-9.0	5.4
Nate Ament	Bench	7:36	4	106.4	17.6	-23.6	14.3
Kel'el Ware	Bench	17:01	2	16.7	14.9	+3.4	4.2
Caris LeVert	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Gary Trent Jr.	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Jericho Sims	Bench	14:38	0	0.0	0.0	+9.0	1.8
Ousmane Dieng	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Bogoljub Marković	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Minnesota TimberwolvesTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact

Player	Role	MIN	PTS	TS%	USG%	NET	PIE
LaMelo Ball	Starter	32:52	34	73.3	30.6	+24.9	18.9
Ayo Dosunmu	Starter	37:10	19	50.3	22.8	+19.7	16.6
Jaden McDaniels	Starter	29:15	13	42.4	21.8	+24.7	2.9
Rudy Gobert	Starter	31:12	10	44.3	15.0	+1.6	6.6
Jonathan Kuminga	Starter	32:44	8	50.0	13.8	+16.2	7.5
Trey Lyles	Bench	21:17	12	60.7	18.2	+4.9	17.8
Nah'Shon Hyland	Bench	14:12	10	55.6	25.0	-24.9	20.8
Jaylen Clark	Bench	20:54	4	29.1	12.1	+7.1	0.0
Joan Beringer	Bench	13:47	2	25.0	10.8	+32.8	18.7
Cody Williams	Bench	6:37	0	0.0	6.3	-107.1	-2.6
Rocco Zikarsky	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Zyon Pullin	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Isaiah Evans	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
LaMelo Ball MIN	Points	20.5	34	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	6	Over
	3-pointers	3.5	6	Over
Tyler Herro MIL	Points	20.5	21	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	6	Over
	Assists	4.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	2.5	4	Over
	Pts + Reb	25.5	27	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	29.5	30	Over
Ayo Dosunmu MIN	Points	18.5	19	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	12	Over
	Assists	4.5	8	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	1	Under
	Pts + Reb	22.5	31	Over
	Reb + Ast	8.5	20	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	26.5	39	Over
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL	Points	13.5	19	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	8	Over
	Assists	2.5	2	Under
	3-pointers	0.5	2	Over
	Reb + Ast	7.5	10	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	22.5	29	Over
Myles Turner MIL	Points	9.5	13	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	5	Over
	Assists	1.5	2	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Pts + Reb	14.5	18	Over
Jaden McDaniels MIN	Points	18.5	13	Under
	Rebounds	5.5	6	Over
	Assists	3.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Reb + Ast	8.5	9	Over