NBA Final Intelligence
Denver Nuggets 123, Memphis Grizzlies 118 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Denver Nuggets defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 123-118 behind a dominant first half that established a decisive cushion. SportsFBI's pregame model leaned 53% toward Denver, a projection vindicated by Jamal Murray scoring 30 points with 8 assists and 4 three-pointers on 12-of-19 shooting. Nikola Jokic added 27 points, 11 rebounds, and 8 assists while shooting 10-of-16, and Cameron Johnson contributed 23 points and 4 threes on 9-of-15 shooting.
Denver asserted control immediately in the opening quarter, outscoring Memphis 35-24. The Nuggets extended that advantage slightly in the second period with a 30-28 edge, sending them into halftime with a comfortable lead. Murray, Jokic, and Johnson combined for high-efficiency scoring to keep the Memphis defense on its heels throughout the first twenty-four minutes.
Memphis mounted a fierce comeback after the intermission, dominating the third quarter 38-29 to narrow the deficit significantly. Ty Jerome fueled the Grizzlies' charge with 22 points, 5 assists, and 2 rebounds on 9-of-18 shooting, while Jaylen Wells matched him with 22 points, sinking 5 three-pointers on 6-of-13 shooting.
Both teams traded baskets in a tightly contested fourth quarter, which Denver narrowly claimed 29-28 to stave off the Grizzlies' rally. The early first-half separation ultimately preserved the outcome, allowing the Nuggets to secure the 123-118 victory despite Memphis winning the second-half scoring margin.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Denver Nuggets (53% confidence). It gave a 11% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 5 points.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
📊 Game Flow
Ahead for good: Christian Braun makes 24-foot three point jumper (Cameron Johnson assists) (Q1 5:35, DEN 16, MEM 13).
Linescore
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 35 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 123 | |
| MEM | 24 | 28 | 38 | 28 | 118 |
🧮 How They Scored
Box Score
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun G | 37 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | -2 |
| Nikola Jokic C | 37 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 6-8 | +5 |
| Jamal Murray G | 32 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12-19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | +11 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 1-1 | +3 |
| Aaron Gordon F | 27 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | -1 |
| Spencer Jones F | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | +3 |
| DeMar DeRozan G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | +3 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 13 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | +1 |
| Marvin Bagley III F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +1 |
| Tyus Jones G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1 |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 33 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | -2 |
| Ty Jerome G | 32 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 3-3 | +9 |
| Jaylen Wells F | 31 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 5-5 | +5 |
| Cedric Coward G | 27 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 |
| Jerami Grant F | 20 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | -6 |
| Cam Spencer G | 20 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | -10 |
| Zach Edey C | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +3 |
| Isaiah Stewart F-C | 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | -8 |
| Javon Small G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | -10 |
| GG Jackson F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -4 |
| Taylor Hendricks F | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | -2 |
⚔️ Season Series & What's Next
- MEM 119@DEN 136 Recap
- DEN 118@MEM 125 Recap
- MEM 116@DEN 122 Recap
- DEN 125@MEM 115 Recap
- MEM 109@DEN 117 Recap
🔍 Key Suspects
More NBA Results — Wednesday, November 11, 2026
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