NBA Final Intelligence
Indiana Pacers 122, Dallas Mavericks 125 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Dallas Mavericks defeated the Indiana Pacers 125-122, overcoming a halftime deficit behind dominant performances from Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving. SportsFBI's pregame model leaned toward Dallas at 76 percent probability, and the visitors ultimately delivered despite a strong early push from Indiana. The Pacers established control in the opening frame with a 31-26 advantage and built further separation by outscoring Dallas 35-30 in the second quarter to carry a 66-56 lead into halftime.
Dallas shifted the momentum decisively in the third quarter, roaring back with a 34-27 scoring edge to narrow the deficit before completing the comeback in the final period. The Mavericks poured in 35 points in the fourth quarter while holding the Pacers to 29, securing the three-point victory.
Cooper Flagg anchored the Dallas offense with 43 points, 10 rebounds, and 6 assists, shooting 16 of 25 from the field including 3 three-pointers. Kyrie Irving added 35 points for the Mavericks, fueling the perimeter attack with 7 shots from beyond the arc on 11-of-18 overall shooting. Pascal Siakam paced Indiana with 29 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists, hitting 5 threes on 9-of-16 shooting. Aaron Nesmith contributed 18 points with 4 triples, and Ivica Zubac chipped in 16 points on 5-of-7 shooting in the loss.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Dallas Mavericks (76% confidence). It gave a 19% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 3 points.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
📊 Game Flow
Ahead for good: Kyrie Irving makes 23-foot three point jumper (Caleb Martin assists) (Q4 9:36, IND 97, DAL 98).
- Q4 2:45 Andrew Nembhard makes free throw 1 of 1IND · IND 113, DAL 116
- Q4 1:41 Naji Marshall makes 3-foot driving floating jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)DAL · IND 113, DAL 118
- Q4 1:14 Aaron Nesmith makes free throw 1 of 3IND · IND 114, DAL 118
- Q4 1:14 Aaron Nesmith makes free throw 2 of 3IND · IND 115, DAL 118
- Q4 1:14 Aaron Nesmith makes free throw 3 of 3IND · IND 116, DAL 118
- Q4 1:02 Cooper Flagg makes 18-foot pullup jump shotDAL · IND 116, DAL 120
- Q4 0:52 Aaron Nesmith makes 23-foot three point jumper (Andrew Nembhard assists)IND · IND 119, DAL 120
- Q4 0:38 Naji Marshall makes free throw 1 of 2DAL · IND 119, DAL 121
- Q4 0:26 Cooper Flagg makes 18-foot pullup jump shotDAL · IND 119, DAL 123
- Q4 0:20 Aaron Nesmith makes 24-foot three pointer (Pascal Siakam assists)IND · IND 122, DAL 123
- Q4 0:18 Kyrie Irving makes free throw 1 of 2DAL · IND 122, DAL 124
- Q4 0:18 Kyrie Irving makes free throw 2 of 2DAL · IND 122, DAL 125
Linescore
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 31 | 35 | 27 | 29 | 122 | |
| DAL | 26 | 30 | 34 | 35 | 125 |
🧮 How They Scored
Box Score
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam F | 35 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 6-8 | -5 |
| Andrew Nembhard G-F | 34 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | +15 |
| Aaron Nesmith G-F | 34 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 4-6 | -5 |
| Ivica Zubac C | 28 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | +6 |
| Quenton Jackson G | 25 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | +6 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. F | 23 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | -8 |
| Obi Toppin F | 19 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Larry Nance Jr. F | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -7 |
| Braden Smith G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Jarace Walker F | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | -9 |
| T.J. McConnell G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -5 |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg F | 39 | 43 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16-25 | 3-6 | 8-8 | -8 |
| Kyrie Irving G | 38 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11-18 | 7-10 | 6-7 | +29 |
| P.J. Washington F | 35 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-6 | -2 |
| Naji Marshall F | 25 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | -7 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. G | 25 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | +1 |
| Daniel Gafford F | 20 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | +15 |
| Santi Aldama F | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | +4 |
| Caleb Martin F | 19 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -11 |
| Zaccharie Risacher F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -13 |
| Max Christie G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +7 |
⚔️ Season Series & What's Next
- DAL 121@IND 105 Recap
- DAL 134@IND 130 Recap
- IND 105@DAL 107 Recap
- DAL 131@IND 135 Recap
- IND 134@DAL 127 Recap
More NBA Results — Monday, November 9, 2026
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