NBA Final Intelligence

MIA 4-6
115 – 109
FINAL
UTA 1-9

Miami Heat 115, Utah Jazz 109 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Miami Heat defeated the Utah Jazz 115-109, validating a SportsFBI pregame model that leaned 53 percent toward Miami. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the charge for the Heat with 30 points, 11 rebounds, and 4 assists on 12-of-21 shooting. Miami established an early edge in the opening period, taking a 29-25 lead after the first quarter.

Miami expanded its advantage significantly before halftime by outscoring Utah 35-29 in the second quarter to build a 64-54 lead. The Heat continued to pull away in the third frame, posting a dominant 28-18 period that pushed their cushion to 20 points heading into the final frame. Davion Mitchell orchestrated the offense throughout the contest, contributing 19 points, 8 assists, and 5 rebounds for Miami.

Utah mounted a furious rally in the fourth quarter, outscoring Miami 37-23 down the stretch, but the earlier deficit proved too large to overcome. Darryn Peterson paced the Jazz with 25 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 assists, shooting 10-of-19 from the field. Airious Bailey added 23 points and 7 rebounds for Utah, while Isaiah Collier chipped in 17 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists, as the Jazz fell short of completing the comeback.

#Heat #Jazz #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Miami Heat (53% confidence). It gave a 11% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 6 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · MIA -8.5 UTA covered Won by 6
Total · 227.5 Under 224 combined
Moneyline MIA -360 · UTA +290 MIA favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (UTA) +10.5+8.5 -2
Total 229.5227.5 -2
Moneyline (UTA) +370+290 -80

Standouts

Top Scorer · MIA
30 PTS, 11 REB, 4 AST, 1 3PM · 12-21 FG
Scoring · UTA
25 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST, 4 3PM · 10-19 FG
Scoring · UTA
23 PTS, 7 REB, 2 AST, 3 3PM · 10-15 FG
Season highs
Airious Bailey · Season-high 23 pointsIsaiah Collier · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MIA 23 largest lead Q3 2:38 (MIA 89, UTA 66) · 10-0 run, Q1 8:44–Q1 7:01
UTA 7 largest lead Q1 10:50 (MIA 1, UTA 8) · 11-0 run, Q4 7:57–Q4 6:42
Swings 1 lead changes Tied 1 time

Ahead for good: Andrew Wiggins makes 27-foot three pointer (Ryan Conwell assists) (Q1 1:44, MIA 26, UTA 23).

Linescore

1234 T
MIA 29352823 115
UTA 25291837 109

🧮 How They Scored

MIAUTA
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
46.1%Effective FG%56.5%
6.9%Turnover %16.1%
17.4%Offensive rebound %25.6%
0.494Free-throw rate0.262

Box Score

Miami Heat

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Davion Mitchell G 3819582025-133-76-8-6
Bam Adebayo C-F 3711844201-80-29-120
Pelle Larsson G 3114721044-72-34-4+3
Giannis Antetokounmpo F 313011400112-211-25-9+11
Klay Thompson G 3011121213-132-103-3+9
Ryan Conwell G 215420001-71-62-2+7
Andrew Wiggins F-G 1913000005-82-41-10
Bobby Portis F 175110002-71-40-0+4
Myron Gardner F 104310001-20-12-20
Simone Fontecchio F 73000001-30-21-3+2

Utah Jazz

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Airious Bailey F 35237200210-153-50-0-3
Darryn Peterson G 31254410510-194-91-2-7
Josh Green G 302540011-50-30-0+4
Isaiah Collier G 2417551025-104-43-6+9
Svi Mykhailiuk G 217231013-81-50-0-8
Josh Okogie G 216441011-80-34-5-22
Jaxson Hayes C 176211113-50-00-0-10
Mo Bamba C 177700312-30-03-4-13
Kyle Filipowski C 157410023-50-11-3+2
Tony Bradley C 144500101-10-02-2+17
Brice Sensabaugh F 145441022-51-30-0+1

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series MIA 1 – 0 UTA
Last 13 meetings · since 2020-21 MIA 9 – 4 UTA
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Miami Heat 5-6 W2 L10 5-5 Next game: vs CLE · Fri, Nov 13
Utah Jazz 1-10 L9 L10 1-9 Next game: vs ORL · Wed, Nov 11

🔍 Key Suspects Results

3 of 6 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

MIA — Away
Bobby Portis Bobby Portis F Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Andrew Wiggins Andrew Wiggins F-G Threes 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
UTA — Home
Brice Sensabaugh Brice Sensabaugh F Points 12.5 UNDER HIT Actual 5
Darryn Peterson G Blocks 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Isaiah Collier Isaiah Collier G Rebounds 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 5
Josh Green Josh Green G Rebounds 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 5

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