NBA Final Intelligence

ORL 2-7
107 – 100
FINAL
SAC 1-9

Orlando Magic 107, Sacramento Kings 100 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

Franz Wagner carried the Orlando Magic to a 107-100 victory over the Sacramento Kings, matching up against a high-scoring Sacramento backcourt. SportsFBI's model gave Orlando a 70% pregame lean, and the Magic immediately justified that projection by jumping out to a 34-27 lead in the opening quarter behind Wagner's stellar offensive pacing. Sacramento mounted a response in the second period, outscoring Orlando 25-23, but the Magic maintained a comfortable edge heading into halftime.

The third quarter saw Orlando extend its advantage slightly with a 27-24 scoring edge, keeping the Kings at arm's length despite heavy offensive pressure from Zach LaVine and Darius Acuff Jr. Sacramento edged the final frame 24-23, but the early deficit proved too steep to overcome as the Magic closed out the seven-point win.

Wagner anchored the Orlando attack with 33 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists on 11-of-23 shooting, while Anthony Black added 26 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists. Desmond Bane contributed 15 points and four of Orlando's perimeter makes. For Sacramento, LaVine hit six triples to finish with 31 points, and Acuff Jr. added 29 points and 6 assists with four three-pointers, but the Kings ultimately fell short against Orlando's balanced output.

#OrlandoMagic #SacramentoKings #FranzWagner #NBAScoring

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Orlando Magic (70% confidence). It gave a 16% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 7 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · ORL -5.5 ORL covered Won by 7
Total · 221.5 Under 207 combined
Moneyline ORL -220 · SAC +184 ORL favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (SAC) +6.5+5.5 -1
Total 221.5221.5 No move
Moneyline (SAC) +194+184 -10

Standouts

Top Scorer · ORL
33 PTS, 7 REB, 7 AST, 1 3PM · 11-23 FG
Scoring · SAC
31 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST, 6 3PM · 10-16 FG
Scoring · SAC
29 PTS, 4 REB, 6 AST, 4 3PM · 10-21 FG
Season highs
Franz Wagner · Season-high 33 pointsAnthony Black · Season-high 26 pointsDylan Cardwell · Season-high 12 reboundsZach LaVine · Season-high 6 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

ORL 14 largest lead Q1 1:00 (ORL 34, SAC 20) · 10-0 run, Q2 5:38–Q2 3:10
SAC 5 largest lead Q1 9:58 (ORL 2, SAC 7) · 18-0 run, Q1 0:51–Q2 8:51
Swings 5 lead changes Tied 4 times

Ahead for good: Alex Morales makes two point shot (Q2 5:38, ORL 44, SAC 43).

Linescore

1234 T
ORL 34232723 107
SAC 27252424 100

🧮 How They Scored

ORLSAC
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
49.5%Effective FG%53.9%
10.8%Turnover %18.9%
30.2%Offensive rebound %12.2%
0.198Free-throw rate0.289

Box Score

Orlando Magic

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Franz Wagner F 38337720311-231-510-10+8
Desmond Bane G 3615640025-194-131-2-2
Anthony Black G 33267540410-172-54-4+9
Wendell Carter Jr. F 3381111304-90-20-0+14
Alex Morales G 297800003-71-30-0+10
Jamal Cain F 205311012-51-40-0+7
Nikola Vucevic C 185410012-51-30-0+8
Jase Richardson G 156111002-40-12-2+2
Goga Bitadze C 152210101-10-00-0-9
Jevon Carter G 40000010-10-10-0-12

Sacramento Kings

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Darius Acuff Jr. G 40294620410-214-95-6-5
De'Andre Hunter F 3415420025-113-62-2-8
Zach LaVine G 33313220510-166-95-5+8
Dylan Cardwell C 2911212240-40-01-1+7
Keegan Murray F 2411210424-92-31-2-12
Domantas Sabonis F 240250000-20-10-2-14
Emanuel Sharp G 192201011-30-10-0-4
Leaky Black F 180320100-40-30-0+3
Precious Achiuwa F 1410301003-61-23-3-9
Malik Monk G 31000010-00-01-1-1
Daeqwon Plowden G-F 20000010-00-00-00

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series ORL 1 – 0 SAC
Last 13 meetings · since 2020-21 ORL 6 – 7 SAC
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Orlando Magic 3-7 W1 L10 3-7 Next game: @ UTA · Wed, Nov 11
Sacramento Kings 1-10 L4 L10 1-9 Next game: vs POR · Fri, Nov 13

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 6 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

ORL — Away
Jamal Cain Jamal Cain F Rebounds 4.5 UNDER HIT Actual 3
Jase Richardson Jase Richardson G Rebounds 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
SAC — Home
De'Andre Hunter F Points 13.5 OVER HIT Actual 15
Keegan Murray Keegan Murray F Threes 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Precious Achiuwa Precious Achiuwa F Pts+Reb 13.5 OVER MISS Actual 13
Zach LaVine Zach LaVine G Rebounds 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 3

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