San Antonio Spurs 125, Portland Trail Blazers 103 — Recap

November 7, 2026 · Recap published November 8, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The San Antonio Spurs defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 125-103, validating a pregame SportsFBI model lean of 61 percent for San Antonio. The opening quarter was a tight contest, with the Spurs holding a narrow 22-20 advantage over the Trail Blazers. San Antonio took control in the second frame by outscoring Portland 42-29 to build a comfortable halftime cushion.

The Spurs blew the game open in the third quarter with a dominant 45-27 offensive explosion, extending their commanding lead heading into the final period. Portland managed to win the fourth quarter 27-16, but the massive deficit proved insurmountable.

Victor Wembanyama led the charge for San Antonio with 29 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 three-pointers while shooting 9-of-13 from the field. Devin Vassell and Stephon Castle added 15 and 14 points respectively, with Castle chipping in 7 rebounds and 5 assists. Julian Champagnie also contributed 14 points behind four made threes. Deni Avdija paced the Trail Blazers with 15 points and 4 rebounds in the loss.

#Spurs #TrailBlazers #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the San Antonio Spurs (61% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 22 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · SAS -5.5 SAS covered Won by 22

Total · 229.5 Under 228 combined

Moneyline SAS -225 · POR +188 SAS favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (POR) +3.5+5.5 +2

Total 228.5229.5 +1

Moneyline (POR) +136+188 +52

Standouts

Top Scorer · SAS

Victor Wembanyama

29 PTS, 7 REB, 3 AST, 3 3PM · 9-13 FG

Scoring · POR

Deni Avdija

15 PTS, 4 REB, 1 AST, 2 3PM · 5-13 FG

Scoring · SAS

Devin Vassell

15 PTS, 2 REB, 3 AST, 2 3PM · 4-8 FG

Season highs

Hansen Yang · Season-high 10 rebounds

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

SAS 35 largest lead Q3 0:06 (SAS 109, POR 74) · 9-0 run, Q3 9:56–Q3 8:34

POR 0 largest lead Never led · 8-0 run, Q4 6:45–Q4 5:21

Swings 0 lead changes Tied 1 time

Ahead for good: Stephon Castle makes 26-foot three point jumper (Dylan Harper assists) (Q1 9:27, SAS 6, POR 3).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
SAS	22	42	45	16		125
POR	20	29	27	27		103

🧮 How They Scored

SASPOR

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

53.9%Effective FG%47.0%

13.4%Turnover %14.9%

31.8%Offensive rebound %17.8%

0.333Free-throw rate0.357

Box Score

San Antonio Spurs

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Dylan Harper G	28	13	7	3	0	1	1	6-13	1-5	0-0	+29
Keldon Johnson F	27	10	7	4	2	0	4	3-10	0-3	4-4	+4
Stephon Castle G	24	14	7	5	0	1	2	5-12	2-5	2-2	+19
Victor Wembanyama F-C	24	29	7	3	1	1	2	9-13	3-6	8-9	+23
De'Aaron Fox G	22	8	3	6	1	1	1	1-3	1-2	5-6	+23
Julian Champagnie F	21	14	4	0	0	0	0	4-7	4-7	2-2	+15
Devin Vassell G-F	21	15	2	3	2	0	0	4-8	2-4	5-5	+26
Harrison Barnes F	19	5	3	0	0	1	0	2-8	1-5	0-0	-8
Carter Bryant F	17	6	4	1	0	1	2	2-6	2-5	0-0	-9
Luke Kornet F-C	15	6	4	2	0	1	1	2-5	0-0	2-2	+9
Jordan McLaughlin G	12	3	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	1-2	0-0	-11
Tarris Reed Jr. C	9	2	3	1	0	0	2	1-3	0-0	0-0	-10

Portland Trail Blazers

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Chris Youngblood G	30	11	4	4	1	1	3	3-8	2-6	3-4	-4
Hansen Yang C	26	12	10	1	1	0	2	3-7	1-3	5-6	-4
Scoot Henderson G	24	13	2	1	1	1	1	4-10	0-5	5-6	-23
Deni Avdija F	24	15	4	1	1	0	3	5-13	2-3	3-4	-19
Donovan Clingan C	22	6	5	0	0	0	0	3-6	0-2	0-0	-18
Toumani Camara F	22	4	4	0	0	0	1	2-7	0-3	0-0	-28
Damian Lillard G	20	12	0	7	0	0	3	4-8	2-3	2-3	-15
Jrue Holiday G	20	11	0	0	1	0	3	3-8	1-3	4-4	-15
Sidy Cissoko G	16	4	3	1	1	0	0	1-3	0-2	2-3	-14
Micah Potter F	14	7	3	1	1	1	0	3-5	1-2	0-0	+8
Branden Carlson C	12	4	2	0	0	0	0	2-3	0-1	0-0	+11
Jayson Kent F	12	4	1	1	2	0	1	2-6	0-2	0-0	+11