Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Los Angeles Rams face Seattle Seahawks in Week 16 at Lumen Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Seattle Seahawks enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Los Angeles Rams’s 22.5 points per game against a Seattle Seahawks defense allowing 20.3. In the other direction, Seattle Seahawks average 24.7 against Los Angeles Rams’s 23.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Seattle Seahawks have injury designations to monitor: Drake Thomas (LB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Seattle Seahawks are Home field / environment; Game-script tendencies.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Red-zone TD efficiency; Starting QB efficiency.
The current model leans toward SEA at 54.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Seattle Seahawks 3-3
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SEAH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
SEA home field | SEA 71 days / LAR 68 days
SEAH Game-script tendencies +0.77 Strong
52% neutral pass / 58 plays | 60% / 65
LARA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.58 Strong
52% / 79% allowed | 63% / 50% allowed
LARA Starting QB efficiency +0.49 Weak
Sam Darnold (2026) 60.4% CMP / 6.9 Y/A / 4.7% TD / 4.7% INT / 77.4 RATE · Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE
SEAH Record quality +0.33 Moderate
SEA 3-3 · LAR 2-4
LARA Schedule strength +0.28 Strong
SEA 49% opp wins · LAR 63%
SEAH Raw scoring differential +0.20 Weak
SEA 24.7 PPG · LAR 22.5 PPG | SEA 20.3 PA/G · LAR 23.0 PA/G
SEAH Special teams efficiency +0.20 Moderate
SEA FG 92.3% / NET PUNT 43.2 | LAR 60.0% / 41.5
SEAH Pass defense +0.17 Weak
SEA 4.3 net Y/A / 63.3% CMP / 75.3 RATE | LAR 5.3 / 57.5% / 77.2
SEAH Explosive-play differential +0.16 Weak
6% / 3% allowed | 6% / 4% allowed
LARA Third-down efficiency +0.12 Weak
SEA OFF 32.4% / DEF 28.0% | LAR 44.0% / 32.9% | PBP 53%/53%/19% | 73%/38%/22%
SEAH OL vs DL matchup +0.11 Weak
SEA OL sack 7.5% / DEF sack 8.2% | LAR 3.8% / 4.2%
SEAH Turnover differential +0.11 Weak
SEA 2.0 GIVE / 1.8 TAKE | LAR 1.5 / 1.0
LARA Run-game matchup +0.08 Weak
SEA 3.9 rush Y/A / 3.5 allowed | LAR 4.6 / 4.4 | PBP 80% stuff avoided | 84% stuff avoided
LARA Early-down efficiency +0.05 Weak
44% / 37% allowed | 51% / 44% allowed
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