NFL Final Intelligence
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos β Recap
September 20, 2026 Β· Empower Field at Mile High Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Denver Broncos mounted a significant second-half comeback, scoring 17 unanswered points to overcome a 10-point deficit and defeat the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-13. A dominant fourth quarter, in which the Broncos tallied 14 points, sealed the hard-fought victory.
Jacksonville initially took the lead in the second quarter with a 1-yard touchdown run by Bhayshul Tuten. While Wil Lutz put Denver on the board with a 20-yard field goal, Cam Little responded for the Jaguars, hitting a 44-yard field goal before halftime. Little then extended Jacksonvilleβs advantage to 13-3 early in the third quarter with a 23-yard kick. Lutz narrowed the gap once more for the Broncos, connecting on a 45-yard field goal to make it 13-6 heading into the final period.
The game's trajectory decisively shifted in the fourth quarter. Denver quarterback Bo Nix spearheaded the comeback, tying the contest at 13 with a 7-yard touchdown pass to Nate Adkins. Nix finished the day with an impressive stat line of 22 completions on 31 attempts for 288 yards and that crucial touchdown, alongside one interception. Receiver Jaylen Waddle significantly contributed to the Broncos' offensive momentum, hauling in eight catches for 138 yards, helping sustain the drives. Later, Jonah Coleman plunged in for a 3-yard rushing touchdown, providing the Broncos with their first lead and ultimately the winning points.
Ultimately, the Broncosβ ability to adjust and execute in the late stages, especially their relentless fourth-quarter scoring surge, proved to be the difference against a Jaguars team that struggled to maintain its early lead. Both the Denver Broncos and Jacksonville Jaguars now hold 1-1 records on the season. The SportsFBI model had predicted a Broncos victory, which ultimately came to pass.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Denver Broncos (-148, 57% implied) over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Final: the Denver Broncos won 20β13.
SportsFBI's model favored the Denver Broncos (52% confidence). Final: the Denver Broncos won 20β13.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Denver Broncos scored 14 points in the 4th quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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