NFL Final Intelligence
New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars β Recap
September 27, 2026 Β· EverBank Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Jacksonville Jaguars delivered a dominant performance on their home turf, stifling the New England Patriots' offense and scoring 28 unanswered points en route to a decisive victory. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence spearheaded a potent attack that proved too much for New England, as the Jaguars consistently found the end zone while limiting the Patriots to a pair of field goals. This commanding effort confirmed pregame expectations, with the Jaguars widely favored to win, a sentiment reinforced by SportsFBI's analytics model which highlighted their home field advantage.
Jacksonville broke the scoreless tie in the second quarter when Josh Cameron hauled in a 12-yard pass from Lawrence, giving the Jaguars a 7-0 lead. New England briefly responded with a 35-yard field goal from Andy Borregales, but the Jaguars quickly regained momentum. Before halftime, Lawrence connected with Jakobi Meyers for a 10-yard touchdown, capping off a 14-point quarter for Jacksonville and extending their advantage to 14-3. The third quarter saw the Jaguars continue their relentless scoring, as Parker Washington caught another 17-yard touchdown from Lawrence, followed by a 5-yard rushing score from Chris Rodriguez Jr., pushing the lead to 28-3.
The game decisively swung during the middle quarters, with Jacksonville's offense firing on all cylinders while New England's struggles mounted. Trevor Lawrence was instrumental, throwing three touchdown passes that showcased the Jaguars' diverse receiving threats. On the other side of the ball, the Patriots' offense, particularly quarterback Drake Maye, found little rhythm. Maye completed 14 of 25 passes for 199 yards, but critically, he threw two interceptions and failed to register a touchdown, contributing significantly to New England's inability to challenge Jacksonville's lead. Even a strong receiving performance from Mack Hollins, who caught six passes for 87 yards, couldn't translate into points for the Patriots as their drives consistently stalled or ended in turnovers. The Jaguars' ground game also contributed to their control, with Bhayshul Tuten leading all rushers with 73 yards on 15 carries and adding a late touchdown.
Ultimately, Jacksonville's ability to execute consistently on offense and capitalize on New England's offensive miscues proved to be the difference. They established an early rhythm and never relinquished control, demonstrating their superior firepower throughout the contest. With this convincing win, the Jacksonville Jaguars now stand at 2-1 on the season, while the New England Patriots fall to 1-2.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Jacksonville Jaguars (-118, 52% implied) over the New England Patriots. Final: the Jacksonville Jaguars won 35β6.
SportsFBI's model favored the Jacksonville Jaguars (65% confidence). Final: the Jacksonville Jaguars won 35β6.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Jacksonville Jaguars scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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