NFL Final Intelligence
Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints β Recap
September 27, 2026 Β· Caesars Superdome Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Las Vegas Raiders defied pregame expectations, staging a remarkable fourth-quarter surge to defeat the favored New Orleans Saints. After trailing by as many as 11 points in the third quarter, Las Vegas scored 19 unanswered points in the final frame to secure an upset victory.
The game began with a Matt Gay field goal, giving Las Vegas an early lead before New Orleans answered with a Tyler Shough touchdown pass to Juwan Johnson, though a blocked extra point kept the margin slim. Momentum continued to swing through the second quarter, as Matt Gay tied the score for the Raiders with another field goal. Kirk Cousins then connected with Michael Mayer to put Las Vegas up 13-6, but Tyler Shough found Noah Fant to knot the score again at 13 before a final Matt Gay field goal gave the Raiders a narrow 16-13 halftime advantage. The Saints took control in the third quarter, with Shough delivering two more touchdown passes, first to Juwan Johnson and then a 16-yard strike to Noah Fant, establishing a 27-16 lead, their largest of the afternoon.
Despite New Orleans' dominant 14-point third quarter, it was the Raiders' late-game resilience that ultimately shifted the contest. Las Vegas initiated its comeback at the close of the third quarter when Mike Washington Jr. broke free for a 36-yard rushing touchdown, though a failed two-point conversion left them trailing 27-22. The pivotal fourth quarter belonged entirely to the Raiders, who clamped down defensively while their offense found its rhythm. Kirk Cousins spearheaded the final push, connecting with Cody White on a 4-yard touchdown pass to seize a one-point lead, 28-27. Cousins then found Brock Bowers for another 4-yard score, with Bowers ending the game as the Raiders' top receiver with 10 catches for 116 yards and that crucial touchdown, cementing the victory. Tyler Shough's strong performance for the Saints, throwing for four touchdowns, was ultimately not enough to hold off the Raiders' late charge.
The Las Vegas Raiders secured their road upset by never relenting, demonstrating a tenacious ability to finish strong despite facing a significant deficit against a favored opponent. Their late-game execution and a stifling fourth-quarter stand allowed them to overcome New Orleans' earlier momentum. The Raiders now stand at 3-0, while the Saints drop to 1-2.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the New Orleans Saints (-166, 60% implied) over the Las Vegas Raiders. Final: the Las Vegas Raiders won 35β27, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the New Orleans Saints (65% confidence). Final: the Las Vegas Raiders won 35β27, missing the call.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The New Orleans Saints scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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