NFL Final Intelligence

SEA 3-1
31 – 33
FINAL
WSH 1-3

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders β€” Recap

September 27, 2026  Β· Northwest Stadium  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Washington Commanders defied pregame expectations, securing a 33-31 upset victory over the Seattle Seahawks. Despite Seattle entering the contest as a significant favorite, favored by both the market and SportsFBI's model, Washington capitalized on key plays, including a pivotal fourth-quarter interception return for a touchdown, to hold off a furious Seahawks comeback bid.

Washington established an early advantage in the first quarter, with Marcus Mariota connecting with Rachaad White for a 6-yard touchdown. Seattle responded in the second quarter as Sam Darnold found Jaxon Smith-Njigba for a 1-yard score, but Washington quickly reclaimed the lead through a Treylon Burks touchdown reception from Mariota. After both teams traded 57-yard field goals from Jason Myers and Drew Stevens respectively, Washington took a 17-10 lead into halftime. The Commanders further extended their lead early in the third quarter when Mariota again linked up with Terry McLaurin for a 30-yard touchdown, pushing the score to 24-10 before Seattle narrowed the gap with an Eric Saubert touchdown from Darnold, making it 24-17.

The fourth quarter saw Seattle launch a determined rally, with Darnold finding Jaxon Smith-Njigba for an 11-yard touchdown to tie the game at 24 points. However, Washington quickly answered with a 36-yard field goal from Drew Stevens. The game's decisive moment arrived when Kain Medrano intercepted Sam Darnold and returned it 50 yards for a touchdown, pushing Washington's lead to 33-24 despite a failed extra point. While Darnold finished with an impressive 379 yards and four touchdowns, his two interceptions, particularly Medrano's game-changing pick-six, proved costly. Jaxon Smith-Njigba also delivered a standout performance for Seattle with 10 catches for 128 yards and two scores, yet the Seahawks could not fully overcome the late defensive surge from Washington.

Ultimately, Washington’s opportunistic defense, punctuated by Medrano's crucial turnover, enabled them to withstand Seattle's aerial assault and secure an unexpected victory. The Seahawks now stand at 2-1, while the Commanders improve to 1-2 on the season.

#NFL #Seahawks #Commanders #SamDarnold #KainMedrano

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Seattle Seahawks (-198, 64% implied) over the Washington Commanders. Final: the Washington Commanders won 33–31, pulling off the upset.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Seattle Seahawks (72% confidence). Final: the Washington Commanders won 33–31, missing the call.

Standouts

Sam Darnold
Passing
31/45, 379 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
19 CAR, 36 YDS
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Receiving
10 REC, 128 YDS, 2 TD

Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
SEA 0 10 7 14 31
WSH 7 10 7 9 33

Biggest Quarter

The Seattle Seahawks scored 14 points in the 4th quarter β€” the biggest single quarter of the game.

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