NFL Final Intelligence
Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys β Recap
September 27, 2026 Β· MaracanΓ£ Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Baltimore Ravens secured a narrow 34-31 victory over the Dallas Cowboys, with the outcome ultimately decided by a last-second field goal after a series of late lead changes. Baltimore, favored heading into the contest due to key injury availability according to SportsFBI's proprietary model, needed a dramatic fourth-quarter push to overcome a resilient Dallas squad that battled throughout the game.
Dallas wasted no time establishing an early advantage, notching 10 points in the first quarter with a Brandon Aubrey field goal and a 2-yard rush from Javonte Williams. Baltimore responded with Derrick Henry's 4-yard touchdown run to cut the deficit. The Ravens then took their first lead in the second quarter, as Henry added another touchdown and Tyler Loop converted a field goal. Dallas managed another field goal from Aubrey before halftime, narrowing Baltimoreβs lead to 17-13. The Ravens extended their advantage in the third quarter with a 4-yard touchdown pass from Lamar Jackson to Chris Moore, but Dallas quickly answered as Dak Prescott connected with Jake Ferguson for a 19-yard score, followed by a two-point conversion pass to CeeDee Lamb, bringing the Cowboys within three points.
The game devolved into a thrilling back-and-forth battle in the final period. KaVontae Turpin's 9-yard rush allowed Dallas to reclaim the lead, but Lamar Jackson found Matthew Hibner for a 2-yard touchdown pass, putting Baltimore back on top. Aubrey then tied the game for the Cowboys with a 23-yard field goal, setting the stage for the dramatic finale. Despite strong performances from Dallas's Dak Prescott (276 yards passing), Javonte Williams (98 yards rushing), and CeeDee Lamb (112 yards receiving), the Cowboys could not maintain their late momentum.
Ultimately, the Ravens demonstrated remarkable composure and clutch execution, particularly in the kicking game, to secure the win on the road. Tyler Loop's decisive 56-yard field goal as time expired cemented the hard-fought victory for Baltimore. The Ravens now hold a 2-1 record, while the Cowboys fall to 1-2.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Baltimore Ravens (-135, 55% implied) over the Dallas Cowboys. Final: the Baltimore Ravens won 34β31.
SportsFBI's model favored the Baltimore Ravens (63% confidence). Final: the Baltimore Ravens won 34β31.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Dallas Cowboys scored 10 points in the 1st quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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