NFL Final Intelligence

NO 1-3
24 – 17
FINAL
BAL 3-1

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens β€” Recap

September 20, 2026  Β· M&T Bank Stadium  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The New Orleans Saints staged a dramatic fourth-quarter comeback, scoring 15 unanswered points to overcome an eight-point deficit against the Baltimore Ravens. The Saints' late surge secured a hard-fought road victory after trailing for much of the contest.

Baltimore initially took control, with Derrick Henry's 1-yard rush opening the scoring in the first quarter. Daniel Carlson put the Saints on the board with a 23-yard field goal early in the second, but the Ravens extended their lead when Lamar Jackson connected with Rashod Bateman for a 22-yard touchdown pass. Carlson added another field goal from 47 yards before halftime, making it 14-6. As the third quarter progressed, the teams traded long field goals, with Carlson hitting a 51-yarder for New Orleans and Tyler Loop responding with a 49-yard kick for Baltimore, leaving the Ravens with a 17-9 lead heading into the final frame.

The momentum decisively shifted in the fourth quarter, where the Saints scored all 15 of their second-half points. Quarterback Tyler Shough, who finished an efficient 27-of-34 for 252 yards with no interceptions, orchestrated the crucial scoring drives. He first found Chris Olave for a 21-yard touchdown pass, followed by Travis Etienne Jr.'s two-point conversion run, which tied the game at 17. Later in the quarter, Shough capped another drive with a 1-yard rushing touchdown, providing the game-winning score and sealing the comeback. Despite Derrick Henry's 68 rushing yards and a touchdown, and Rashod Bateman's 88 receiving yards and a score, the Ravens' offense stalled in the final period. Notably, the SportsFBI model, which had favored Baltimore with 72% confidence due to home team key injuries, ultimately missed the mark as New Orleans rallied.

New Orleans' ability to execute offensively and defensively in the final quarter proved to be the difference, as they completely shut down Baltimore's scoring efforts while mounting their own decisive charge. The Saints move to 1-1 on the season, matching the Ravens' 1-1 record.

#NFL #Saints #Ravens #TylerShough #ComebackWin

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Baltimore Ravens (-375, 76% implied) over the New Orleans Saints. Final: the New Orleans Saints won 24–17, pulling off the upset.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Baltimore Ravens (72% confidence). Final: the New Orleans Saints won 24–17, missing the call.

Standouts

Tyler Shough
Passing
27/34, 252 YDS, 1 TD
Derrick Henry
Rushing
16 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
Rashod Bateman
Receiving
7 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD

Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
NO 0 6 3 15 24
BAL 7 7 3 0 17

Biggest Quarter

The New Orleans Saints scored 15 points in the 4th quarter β€” the biggest single quarter of the game.

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