NHL Final Intelligence
Boston Bruins 1, St. Louis Blues 4 — Recap
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Game Recap
St. Louis defeated Boston 4-1, largely due to Joel Hofer's stellar goaltending and a three-goal effort in the second and third periods. Despite being outshot significantly, the Blues capitalized on their opportunities, with Robert Thomas and Philip Broberg each contributing a goal and two assists. This outcome defied the SportsFBI model, which had leaned towards Boston at 57%.
The Bruins initially took the lead in the first period when James Hagens scored at 5:28, assisted by Casey Mittelstadt. St. Louis responded later in the period, with Jimmy Snuggerud tying the game 1-1 at 15:43, assisted by Philip Broberg and Robert Thomas. Boston heavily outshot St. Louis 32-18 in the game, but Hofer proved to be a formidable barrier.
The Blues pulled away in the second period. Philip Broberg gave St. Louis a 2-1 lead at 5:17, with assists from Connor McMichael and Dylan Holloway. Robert Thomas extended the lead to 3-1 at 12:08, assisted by Justin Barron. Jake Neighbours then sealed the victory in the third period, scoring at 12:42 with assists from Philip Broberg and Robert Thomas, bringing the final score to 4-1. Hofer finished the night with 31 saves on 32 shots, while Boston's Jeremy Swayman stopped 14 of 18 shots. Following this contest, St. Louis moves to 5-6-1, and Boston holds a 9-3-1 record.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the St. Louis Blues (-115, 53% implied) over the Boston Bruins.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Boston Bruins (57% confidence). It gave a 28% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 5:28 James Hagens (Casey Mittelstadt) BOS · tip-in shot · BOS 1, STL 0
- P1 15:43 Jimmy Snuggerud (Philip Broberg, Robert Thomas) STL · Power play · snap shot · BOS 1, STL 1
- P2 5:17 Philip Broberg (Connor McMichael, Dylan Holloway) STL · wrist shot · BOS 1, STL 2
- P2 12:08 Robert Thomas (Justin Barron) STL · wrist shot · BOS 1, STL 3
- P3 12:42 Jake Neighbours (Philip Broberg, Robert Thomas) STL · Power play · backhand shot · BOS 1, STL 4
Biggest Period
The St. Louis Blues scored 2 goals in P2 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 8 | 10 | 13 | 31 |
| STL | 10 | 6 | 2 | 18 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 1Goals2% of attempts
- 30Saved59% of attempts
- 20Missed the net39% of attempts
- 4Goals13% of attempts
- 14Saved45% of attempts
- 13Missed the net42% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Hagens | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:58 |
| Charlie McAvoy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23:56 |
| Hampus Lindholm | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:21 |
| David Pastrnak | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21:28 |
| Pavel Zacha | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:00 |
| Nikita Zadorov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 19:05 |
| Mason Lohrei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:28 |
| JJ Peterka | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18:19 |
| Will Borgen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:25 |
| Fraser Minten | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:50 |
| Elias Lindholm | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:36 |
| Morgan Geekie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:20 |
| Connor Clifton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:16 |
| Tanner Jeannot | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:51 |
| Mark Kastelic | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10:11 |
| Matthew Poitras | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 08:52 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | L | 14 | 18 | 77.8 | 4 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Broberg | D | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:55 |
| Robert Thomas | C | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 |
| Jake Neighbours | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13:45 |
| Dylan Holloway | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15:25 |
| Justin Barron | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:24 |
| Connor McMichael | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:18 |
| Cam Fowler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:35 |
| Brandon Carlo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20:24 |
| Adam Jiricek | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:03 |
| Colton Parayko | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:31 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 |
| Mason McTavish | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 |
| Pius Suter | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14:30 |
| Jonatan Berggren | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 |
| Aleksanteri Kaskimaki | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:49 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | W | 30 | 31 | 96.8 | 1 | 60:00 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Thomas STL | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Philip Broberg STL | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Jimmy Snuggerud STL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| James Hagens BOS | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Dylan Holloway STL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Connor McMichael STL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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