NHL Final Intelligence
Calgary Flames 0, Edmonton Oilers 4 β Recap
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Game Recap
Edmonton, Alta. β The Edmonton Oilers secured a decisive 4-0 victory over the Calgary Flames, backed by a stellar performance from Tristan Jarry and a balanced offensive attack. Jarry stopped all 23 shots he faced, earning a shutout as Edmonton improved its record to 8-2-2. The Flames, who fell to 5-6-0, struggled to generate offense throughout the contest, registering 24 shots on goal but failing to convert. SportsFBI's model had leaned toward an Oilers victory, assessing their probability at 67%.
The Oilers established their lead in the first period, with Mathieu Joseph scoring at 7:46, assisted by Connor McDavid and Evan Bouchard, to make it 1-0. The second period saw Edmonton extend its advantage at 4:52 when Mattias Ekholm found the net, assisted by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins. Calgary changed goaltenders during the game; Dustin Wolf made 18 saves on 21 shots before Devin Cooley entered to stop 8 of 9 shots.
Edmonton solidified its win with two quick goals early in the third period. Kasperi Kapanen scored just 55 seconds into the final frame, with assists from Connor McDavid and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, pushing the lead to 3-0. Just 21 seconds later, at 1:16, Alex Formenton added another goal, assisted by Jason Dickinson, to cap the scoring at 4-0. The Oilers finished the game with 32 shots on goal.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Edmonton Oilers (-185, 65% implied) over the Calgary Flames.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Edmonton Oilers (67% confidence). It gave a 36% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 4 goals.
π΅ Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
π Game Flow
- P1 7:46 Mathieu Joseph (Connor McDavid, Evan Bouchard) EDM Β· snap shot Β· CGY 0, EDM 1
- P2 4:52 Mattias Ekholm (Ryan Nugent-Hopkins) EDM Β· snap shot Β· CGY 0, EDM 2
- P3 0:55 Kasperi Kapanen (Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins) EDM Β· Power play Β· snap shot Β· CGY 0, EDM 3
- P3 1:16 Alex Formenton (Jason Dickinson) EDM Β· snap shot Β· CGY 0, EDM 4
Biggest Period
The Edmonton Oilers scored 2 goals in P3 β the biggest single period of the game.
π Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
| EDM | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32 |
π― Shot Map
- 0Goals0% of attempts
- 24Saved59% of attempts
- 17Missed the net41% of attempts
- 4Goals8% of attempts
- 28Saved56% of attempts
- 18Missed the net36% of attempts
β goal (large) Β· β saved Β· β missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
π Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Nemec | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:36 |
| Kevin Bahl | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22:43 |
| Matvei Gridin | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 |
| Jake Middleton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:49 |
| Zach Whitecloud | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 |
| Mikael Backlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 |
| Ryan Strome | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:30 |
| Matt Coronato | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:12 |
| Zayne Parekh | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 |
| Joel Farabee | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:48 |
| Martin Pospisil | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15:20 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 |
| Adam Klapka | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 14:46 |
| Aydar Suniev | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:21 |
| Morgan Frost | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 |
| Jonathan Castagna | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:18 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11:58 |
| Brennan Othmann | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:52 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | β | 20 | 23 | 87.0 | 3 | 40:00 |
| Devin Cooley | L | 8 | 9 | 88.9 | 1 | 20:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18:50 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 |
| Mattias Ekholm | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18:06 |
| Mathieu Joseph | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 |
| Alex Formenton | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:12 |
| Evan Bouchard | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22:12 |
| Jason Dickinson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 13:00 |
| Ryan Shea | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:51 |
| Connor Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20:35 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:16 |
| Leon Draisaitl | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 |
| Colton Dach | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:50 |
| Ty Emberson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16:19 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:08 |
| Trent Frederic | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11:16 |
| Owen Michaels | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 |
| Isaac Howard | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:21 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | W | 24 | 24 | 100.0 | 0 | 60:00 |
ποΈ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins EDM | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Connor McDavid EDM | Points | 1.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 3 | Under | |
| Kasperi Kapanen EDM | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Mattias Ekholm EDM | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Evan Bouchard EDM | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Alex Formenton EDM | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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