NHL Final Intelligence

Seattle Kraken 2, Calgary Flames 6 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

Calgary's offense ignited Saturday, as the Flames scored six goals to defeat the Seattle Kraken 6-2. The Flames broke open a tied game in the second period, with Matt Coronato, Joel Farabee, and Morgan Frost each recording multiple points to pace the attack.

Morgan Frost scored early for Calgary, assisted by Joel Farabee and Matt Coronato, but Seattle's Frederick Gaudreau, assisted by Mackie Samoskevich and Chandler Stephenson, tied the game at 1-1 in the first period. The Flames took control in the second, with Aydar Suniev, Matvei Gridin, and Joel Farabee each scoring to build a 4-1 lead by the midway point. Mackie Samoskevich netted Seattle's second goal late in the second, assisted by Kaapo Kakko and Berkly Catton, bringing the score to 4-2.

Calgary solidified its advantage early in the third period when Matt Coronato scored just 39 seconds in, assisted by Zach Whitecloud. Ryan Strome added a final goal at 18:14, assisted by Matvei Gridin and Zayne Parekh, making it 6-2. Coronato led all scorers with a goal and three assists, while Farabee contributed a goal and two assists, and Frost tallied a goal and an assist. For Seattle, Samoskevich had a goal and an assist. Calgary outshot Seattle 28-23. Dustin Wolf made 21 saves on 23 shots for the Flames, while Seattle's Philipp Grubauer stopped 10 of 14 shots and Joey Daccord made 12 saves on 14 shots. The result pushed Calgary's record to 5-7-0, while Seattle fell to 8-4-1. The SportsFBI model had leaned toward Seattle at 53% pregame, missing on the outcome.

#FlamesKraken #NHLRecap #CalgaryHockey

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Seattle Kraken (-115, 53% implied) over the Calgary Flames. The underdog won.

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Seattle Kraken (53% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 4 goals.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · SEA -1.5 CGY covered Won by 4
Total · 6.5 Over 8 combined
Moneyline SEA -115 · CGY -104 SEA favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (CGY) +1.5+1.5 No move
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (CGY) -108-104 +4

Standouts

Top Scorer · CGY
1 G, 3 A, 4 PTS, 1 SOG · 13:28 TOI
Goals · CGY
1 G, 2 A, 3 PTS, 1 SOG · 15:18 TOI
Season highs
Matt Coronato · Season-high 4 points

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

SEA 0 largest lead Never led
CGY 4 largest lead P3 18:14 (SEA 2, CGY 6) · 3-0 run, P2 5:45–P2 10:40
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 1 time
Scoring summary
  • P1 2:32 Morgan Frost (Joel Farabee, Matt Coronato) CGY · Power play · wrist shot · SEA 0, CGY 1
  • P1 11:34 Frederick Gaudreau (Mackie Samoskevich, Chandler Stephenson) SEA · backhand shot · SEA 1, CGY 1
  • P2 5:45 Aydar Suniev (Morgan Frost) CGY · snap shot · SEA 1, CGY 2
  • P2 8:43 Matvei Gridin (Joel Farabee, Matt Coronato) CGY · Power play · wrist shot · SEA 1, CGY 3
  • P2 10:40 Joel Farabee (Mikael Backlund, Matt Coronato) CGY · wrist shot · SEA 1, CGY 4
  • P2 18:15 Mackie Samoskevich (Kaapo Kakko, Berkly Catton) SEA · Power play · snap shot · SEA 2, CGY 4
  • P3 0:39 Matt Coronato (Zach Whitecloud) CGY · wrist shot · SEA 2, CGY 5
  • P3 18:14 Ryan Strome (Matvei Gridin, Martin Pospisil) CGY · snap shot · SEA 2, CGY 6

Linescore

123 T
SEA 110 2
CGY 132 6

Shots on goal: SEA 23, CGY 28

Biggest Period

The Calgary Flames scored 3 goals in P2 — the biggest single period of the game.

📋 Team Stats

SEACGY
22Shots on goal27
46Shot attempts49
37Faceoff wins27
17Hits31
14Blocked shots10
1Power-play goals2
4Takeaways3
13Giveaways11
9Penalty minutes13
77.8%Save %90.9%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
SEA108422
CGY513927

🎯 Shot Map

Seattle Kraken2 G · 32 attempts
Ryan Winterton: saved (wrist)Bobby McMann: saved (wrist)Mackie Samoskevich: saved (wrist)Frederick Gaudreau: missed the netBrandon Montour: saved (slap)Adam Larsson: saved (slap)Jordan Eberle: saved (wrist)Frederick Gaudreau: saved (tip-in)Frederick Gaudreau: goal (backhand)Shane Wright: saved (tip-in)Cale Fleury: saved (slap)Matty Beniers: missed the netJosh Mahura: missed the netJordan Eberle: saved (wrist)Bobby McMann: saved (wrist)Bobby McMann: saved (wrist)Curtis Douglas: missed the netJosh Mahura: missed the netBerkly Catton: saved (snap)Matty Beniers: saved (wrist)Mackie Samoskevich: saved (wrist)Mackie Samoskevich: saved (snap)Mackie Samoskevich: goal (snap)Bobby McMann: missed the netAdam Larsson: missed the netBrandon Montour: saved (backhand)Cale Fleury: saved (wrist)Ryker Evans: saved (snap)Shane Wright: saved (snap)Curtis Douglas: missed the netShane Wright: missed the netChandler Stephenson: missed the net
  • 2Goals6% of attempts
  • 20Saved63% of attempts
  • 10Missed the net31% of attempts
Calgary Flames6 G · 39 attempts
Morgan Frost: goal (wrist)Mikael Backlund: missed the netMatvei Gridin: saved (snap)Yegor Sharangovich: missed the netJake Middleton: missed the netJonathan Castagna: saved (wrist)Jonathan Castagna: saved (tip-in)Matt Coronato: missed the netSimon Nemec: saved (wrist)Adam Klapka: missed the netAdam Klapka: saved (wrist)Yan Kuznetsov: saved (slap)Simon Nemec: saved (slap)Simon Nemec: saved (slap)Adam Klapka: missed the netAydar Suniev: goal (snap)Matvei Gridin: saved (wrist)Yegor Sharangovich: missed the netMatvei Gridin: saved (backhand)Matvei Gridin: goal (wrist)Mikael Backlund: missed the netJoel Farabee: goal (wrist)Martin Pospisil: saved (snap)Zayne Parekh: saved (backhand)Maxim Tsyplakov: saved (snap)Matvei Gridin: saved (wrist)Matt Coronato: goal (wrist)Mikael Backlund: saved (wrist)Ryan Strome: saved (wrist)Kevin Bahl: missed the netKevin Bahl: missed the netMaxim Tsyplakov: saved (wrist)Aydar Suniev: saved (snap)Zayne Parekh: saved (wrist)Yegor Sharangovich: saved (deflected)Zayne Parekh: saved (slap)Aydar Suniev: missed the netYegor Sharangovich: missed the netRyan Strome: goal (snap)
  • 6Goals15% of attempts
  • 21Saved54% of attempts
  • 12Missed the net31% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

SEA skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Mackie Samoskevich R 112-241218:54
Frederick Gaudreau C 101-221117:56
Berkly Catton C 011-110217:26
Kaapo Kakko R 011-100216:25
Chandler Stephenson C 011-201015:47
Brandon Montour D 000-122224:43
Ryker Evans D 000-111221:26
Vince Dunn D 000-200119:36
Bobby McMann C 000031018:29
Adam Larsson D 000-113017:18
Shane Wright C 000-121017:18
Matty Beniers C 000010116:01
Josh Mahura D 000003015:51
Jordan Eberle R 000020015:46
Cale Fleury D 000-120014:41
Ben Meyers C 000002013:31
Ryan Winterton C 000011012:20
Curtis Douglas C 000000104:29
SEA goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Philipp Grubauer L 101471.4430:40
Joey Daccord — 111384.6229:20
CGY skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Matt Coronato R 134+210013:28
Joel Farabee L 123+111115:18
Morgan Frost C 112+112016:55
Matvei Gridin R 112+150116:18
Ryan Strome C 101020014:38
Aydar Suniev L 101+122014:14
Zach Whitecloud D 011-101119:21
Mikael Backlund C 011+210017:51
Martin Pospisil C 011018313:26
Simon Nemec D 000+331021:28
Kevin Bahl D 000+101021:08
Jake Middleton D 000-103120:03
Yan Kuznetsov D 000+313219:49
Yegor Sharangovich C 000+110117:13
Zayne Parekh D 000+130016:32
Maxim Tsyplakov R 000021012:25
Adam Klapka R 000014011:53
Jonathan Castagna C 000024011:09
CGY goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Dustin Wolf W 202290.9260:00

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Matt Coronato CGY Points0.54 Over
Assists0.53 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.51 Under
Joel Farabee CGY Points0.53 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.51 Under
Morgan Frost CGY Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.51 Under
Mackie Samoskevich SEA Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.54 Over
Matvei Gridin CGY Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.55 Over
Mikael Backlund CGY Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.51 Under

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series SEA 2 – 1 CGY
Last 6 meetings · since 2025-26 SEA 4 – 2 CGY
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Seattle Kraken 8-5-1 L1 L10 6-3-1 Next game: vs CGY · Wed, Nov 4
Calgary Flames 6-7-0 W1 L10 6-4-0 Next game recap: @ COL · Sat, Oct 31

🔍 Key Suspects Results

11 of 16 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

SEA — Away
Kaapo Kakko Kaapo Kakko RW Assists · DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Frederick Gaudreau Frederick Gaudreau C Anytime Goal · FanDuel 1+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 1
Chandler Stephenson Chandler Stephenson C Assists · DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Mackie Samoskevich Mackie Samoskevich RW Goals · FanDuel 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Matty Beniers Matty Beniers C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Jordan Eberle Jordan Eberle RW Points · DraftKings 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Shane Wright Shane Wright C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Bobby McMann Bobby McMann C Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Vince Dunn Vince Dunn D Shots on Goal · BetMGM 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Berkly Catton Berkly Catton C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
CGY — Home
Simon Nemec Simon Nemec D Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Mikael Backlund Mikael Backlund C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Yegor Sharangovich Yegor Sharangovich C Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Ryan Strome Ryan Strome C Shots on Goal · FanDuel 3+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 2
Zayne Parekh Zayne Parekh D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Morgan Frost Morgan Frost C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 1

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