NHL Final Intelligence
Florida Panthers 5, Winnipeg Jets 1 β Recap
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Game Recap
The Florida Panthers quickly established control against the Winnipeg Jets, netting three goals in less than three minutes during the first period to set the tone for their 5-1 victory. Carter Verhaeghe opened the scoring at 7:27 with assists from Brady Tkachuk and Seth Jones. Niko Mikkola extended the lead to 2-0 just over a minute later, with Jones and Matthew Tkachuk assisting. Verhaeghe then secured his second goal of the period at 10:18, assisted by Matthew Tkachuk and Jones, giving Florida a commanding 3-0 advantage. Panthers goaltender Akira Schmid was sharp, stopping 24 of 25 shots faced, while Clay Stevenson made 19 saves on 24 shots for Winnipeg.
The Jets momentarily narrowed the deficit in the second period when Adam Lowry scored at 12:27, bringing the score to 3-1. However, Florida quickly answered less than a minute later, with Sam Reinhart finding the net at 13:14, assisted by Brady Tkachuk and Matthew Tkachuk, restoring a three-goal lead at 4-1. Matthew Tkachuk was a consistent offensive presence throughout the game, contributing to Florida's attack with his playmaking.
Brady Tkachuk further solidified Floridaβs lead in the third period, scoring at 12:10 with assists from Matthew Tkachuk and Niko Mikkola to make it 5-1. Matthew Tkachuk finished the game with a remarkable four assists, while Verhaeghe notched two goals. Seth Jones added three assists, and Brady Tkachuk recorded a goal and two assists. The Panthers now hold a 6-4-2 record, while the Jets drop to 4-4-3. SportsFBI's pregame model, which leaned towards a Florida win at 55%, proved correct.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Florida Panthers (-125, 56% implied) over the Winnipeg Jets.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Florida Panthers (55% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 4 goals.
π΅ Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
π Game Flow
- P1 7:27 Carter Verhaeghe (Brady Tkachuk, Seth Jones) FLA Β· Power play Β· backhand shot Β· FLA 1, WPG 0
- P1 8:42 Niko Mikkola (Seth Jones, Matthew Tkachuk) FLA Β· wrist shot Β· FLA 2, WPG 0
- P1 10:18 Carter Verhaeghe (Matthew Tkachuk, Seth Jones) FLA Β· Power play Β· slap shot Β· FLA 3, WPG 0
- P2 12:27 Adam Lowry WPG Β· Shorthanded Β· wrap-around shot Β· FLA 3, WPG 1
- P2 13:14 Sam Reinhart (Brady Tkachuk, Matthew Tkachuk) FLA Β· Power play Β· snap shot Β· FLA 4, WPG 1
- P3 12:10 Brady Tkachuk (Matthew Tkachuk, Niko Mikkola) FLA Β· tip-in shot Β· FLA 5, WPG 1
Biggest Period
The Florida Panthers scored 3 goals in P1 β the biggest single period of the game.
π Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 6 | 12 | 6 | 24 |
| WPG | 8 | 10 | 7 | 25 |
π― Shot Map
- 5Goals13% of attempts
- 19Saved48% of attempts
- 16Missed the net40% of attempts
- 1Goals2% of attempts
- 24Saved59% of attempts
- 16Missed the net39% of attempts
β goal (large) Β· β saved Β· β missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
π Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | L | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 |
| Brady Tkachuk | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:17 |
| Seth Jones | D | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25:02 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18:26 |
| Niko Mikkola | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19:16 |
| Sam Reinhart | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18:34 |
| Gustav Forsling | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19:25 |
| Aaron Ekblad | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 |
| Anton Lundell | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 |
| Lars Eller | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:49 |
| Radko Gudas | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 |
| Garnet Hathaway | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 |
| Sam Bennett | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:44 |
| Sandis Vilmanis | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:35 |
| Cole Schwindt | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11:18 |
| Bokondji Imama | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11:11 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | W | 24 | 25 | 96.0 | 1 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Lowry | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 |
| Kyle Connor | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:34 |
| Mario Ferraro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 21:30 |
| Neal Pionk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21:28 |
| Elias Salomonsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:51 |
| Dylan Samberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20:35 |
| Mark Scheifele | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20:11 |
| Dylan DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:22 |
| Dawson Mercer | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 |
| Cole Perfetti | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:07 |
| Morgan Barron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14:33 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 |
| Tyrel Bauer | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13:10 |
| Viggo BjΓΆrck | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:04 |
| Isak Rosen | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 |
| Brad Lambert | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:20 |
| Cole Koepke | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11:18 |
| Alex Iafallo | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10:59 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Stevenson | L | 19 | 24 | 79.2 | 5 | 60:00 |
ποΈ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk FLA | Points | 0.5 | 4 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Brady Tkachuk FLA | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Seth Jones FLA | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Carter Verhaeghe FLA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Niko Mikkola FLA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Sam Reinhart FLA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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