NHL Final Intelligence
New York Islanders 4, Nashville Predators 3 (SO) — Recap
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Game Recap
The New York Islanders took an early three-goal lead against the Nashville Predators, ultimately prevailing 4-3 in a shootout. Anthony Duclair opened the scoring for the Islanders at 3:07 of the first period, assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Tony DeAngelo. Brayden Schenn extended New York's lead to 2-0 with an assist from Ondrej Palat at 8:07 in the same period. The Islanders continued their strong offensive start into the second, with Bo Horvat scoring at 1:08, assisted by Matthew Schaefer and Simon Holmstrom, to make it 3-0.
Nashville began their comeback midway through the second period. Filip Forsberg, assisted by Jonathan Marchessault and Steven Stamkos, put the Predators on the board at 9:42, narrowing the deficit to 3-1. Alexander Kerfoot further cut into the Islanders' lead just over three minutes later, scoring at 13:02 with an assist from Nils Hoglander, making the score 3-2.
The Predators completed their rally early in the third period when Ryan O'Reilly found the net at 4:16, assisted by Daemon Hunt and Filip Forsberg, to tie the game at 3-3. Despite 29 shots on goal for the Islanders compared to 23 for Nashville, neither team scored in overtime. Semyon Varlamov made 20 saves on 23 shots for New York, while Juuse Saros stopped 26 of 29 for Nashville. The Islanders ultimately secured the win in the shootout. New York now holds a 5-4-2 record, while Nashville stands at 4-3-4. SportsFBI's pregame model had leaned towards a New York victory with a 54% probability, which proved correct.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Nashville Predators (-122, 55% implied) over the New York Islanders. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the New York Islanders (54% confidence). It gave a 28% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 3:07 Anthony Duclair (Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Tony DeAngelo) NYI · tip-in shot · NYI 1, NSH 0
- P1 8:07 Brayden Schenn (Ondrej Palat) NYI · backhand shot · NYI 2, NSH 0
- P2 1:08 Bo Horvat (Matthew Schaefer, Simon Holmstrom) NYI · snap shot · NYI 3, NSH 0
- P2 9:42 Filip Forsberg (Jonathan Marchessault, Steven Stamkos) NSH · Power play · wrist shot · NYI 3, NSH 1
- P2 13:02 Alexander Kerfoot (Nils Hoglander) NSH · wrist shot · NYI 3, NSH 2
- P3 4:16 Ryan O'Reilly (Daemon Hunt, Filip Forsberg) NSH · backhand shot · NYI 3, NSH 3
Linescore
Shots on goal: NYI 29, NSH 23 · The shootout winner is credited with one goal in the final score.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 8 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 27 |
| NSH | 6 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 23 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 3Goals6% of attempts
- 24Saved49% of attempts
- 22Missed the net45% of attempts
- 3Goals8% of attempts
- 20Saved50% of attempts
- 17Missed the net43% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26:04 |
| Brayden Schenn | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19:15 |
| Anthony Duclair | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 |
| Matthew Schaefer | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32:16 |
| Simon Holmstrom | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25:02 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16:55 |
| Tony DeAngelo | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:41 |
| Ondrej Palat | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:38 |
| Kyle Palmieri | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:35 |
| Logan Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:54 |
| Adam Pelech | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19:13 |
| Ryan Pulock | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18:00 |
| Emil Heineman | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:00 |
| Victor Eklund | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:00 |
| Casey Cizikas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:23 |
| Scott Mayfield | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 09:06 |
| Mitchell Chaffee | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 07:35 |
| Matthew Kessel | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 05:31 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov | W | 20 | 23 | 87.0 | 3 | 63:10 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Forsberg | L | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:47 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:10 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:30 |
| Steven Stamkos | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:42 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 |
| Daemon Hunt | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:45 |
| Nils Hoglander | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 06:14 |
| Roman Josi | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26:07 |
| Adam Wilsby | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:40 |
| Jack Drury | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:05 |
| Brady Skjei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:47 |
| Nick Perbix | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:44 |
| Mavrik Bourque | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:12 |
| Adam Edstrom | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 16:32 |
| Ross Colton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:24 |
| Nicolas Hague | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12:13 |
| Matthew Wood | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:39 |
| Jayden Struble | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 07:45 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | O | 24 | 27 | 88.9 | 3 | 65:00 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Forsberg NSH | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Brayden Schenn NYI | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Matthew Schaefer NYI | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Jonathan Marchessault NSH | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Simon Holmstrom NYI | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
⚔️ Season Series & What's Next
More NHL Results — Tuesday, October 27, 2026
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