NHL Final Intelligence
New York Rangers 4, Seattle Kraken 3 — Recap
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Game Recap
The New York Rangers defeated the Seattle Kraken 4-3 despite being outshot 28-26, fueled by a dominant first two periods before surviving a furious Seattle comeback. SportsFBI's pregame model leaned 51% toward the Rangers, a projection that held true as New York built a commanding lead early. Gabe Perreault opened the scoring at 1:35 of the first period off feeds from Mika Zibanejad and Alexis Lafrenière. Tye Kartye added a second goal at 9:05 assisted by Adam Fox and Oliver Bjorkstrand, and Jaroslav Chmelar extended the lead to 3-0 at 13:53 with help from Noah Laba.
The second period continued the New York onslaught when Pavel Dorofeyev scored at 12:46, again assisted by Zibanejad and Lafrenière, to push the advantage to 4-0. At that stage, Seattle goaltender Philipp Grubauer had stopped 15 of 16 shots after replacing Joey Daccord, who yielded 3 goals on 10 shots. Meanwhile, Joonas Korpisalo kept Seattle off the board through forty minutes.
The Kraken stormed back in the third period with three unanswered goals to narrow the final margin to one. Kaapo Kakko put Seattle on the board at 1:50 with assists from Brandon Montour and Berkly Catton. Jordan Eberle followed at 6:38 off passes from Matty Beniers and Chandler Stephenson, and Vince Dunn brought the Kraken within one at 15:02 with helpers from Catton and Matthew Wood. Korpisalo finished with 26 saves on 29 shots to preserve the victory, improving the Rangers' record to 9-7-1 while dropping Seattle to 9-5-1.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the New York Rangers (-135, 57% implied) over the Seattle Kraken.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the New York Rangers (51% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 1:35 Gabe Perreault (Mika Zibanejad, Alexis Lafrenière) NYR · wrist shot · NYR 1, SEA 0
- P1 9:05 Tye Kartye (Adam Fox, Oliver Bjorkstrand) NYR · Power play · tip-in shot · NYR 2, SEA 0
- P1 13:53 Jaroslav Chmelar (Noah Laba) NYR · wrist shot · NYR 3, SEA 0
- P2 12:46 Pavel Dorofeyev (Mika Zibanejad, Alexis Lafrenière) NYR · backhand shot · NYR 4, SEA 0
- P3 1:50 Kaapo Kakko (Brandon Montour, Berkly Catton) SEA · wrist shot · NYR 4, SEA 1
- P3 6:38 Jordan Eberle (Matty Beniers, Chandler Stephenson) SEA · Power play · wrist shot · NYR 4, SEA 2
- P3 15:02 Vince Dunn (Berkly Catton, Matthew Wood) SEA · slap shot · NYR 4, SEA 3
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 11 | 11 | 4 | 26 |
| SEA | 10 | 5 | 14 | 29 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 4Goals10% of attempts
- 22Saved54% of attempts
- 15Missed the net37% of attempts
- 3Goals7% of attempts
- 26Saved58% of attempts
- 16Missed the net36% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Lafrenière | L | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18:43 |
| Mika Zibanejad | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18:41 |
| Tye Kartye | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:59 |
| Gabe Perreault | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:53 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:47 |
| Jaroslav Chmelar | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 09:49 |
| Adam Fox | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:51 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:39 |
| Noah Laba | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:58 |
| Marcus Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21:17 |
| Braden Schneider | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20:23 |
| J.T. Miller | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:36 |
| Will Cuylle | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 14:55 |
| Scott Morrow | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:55 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:45 |
| Matthew Robertson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 |
| Matt Rempe | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 06:27 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | — | 26 | 29 | 89.7 | 3 | 57:49 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkly Catton | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 |
| Vince Dunn | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:23 |
| Jordan Eberle | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 |
| Kaapo Kakko | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 |
| Brandon Montour | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 26:04 |
| Matty Beniers | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 |
| Chandler Stephenson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 |
| Matthew Wood | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14:07 |
| Ryker Evans | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25:29 |
| Adam Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19:07 |
| Bobby McMann | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:56 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:40 |
| Josh Mahura | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 |
| Ben Meyers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:45 |
| Jani Nyman | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11:03 |
| Ryan Winterton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:13 |
| Ville Ottavainen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 09:23 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | — | 15 | 16 | 93.8 | 1 | 44:42 |
| Joey Daccord | — | 7 | 10 | 70.0 | 3 | 13:53 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Zibanejad NYR | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Alexis Lafrenière NYR | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Berkly Catton SEA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand NYR | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Gabe Perreault NYR | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Vince Dunn SEA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 6 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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