NHL Final Intelligence

PHI 2-6-3
3 – 1
FINAL
BUF 4-3-2

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 1 — Recap

 · KeyBank Center  · Recap published  · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Philadelphia Flyers defeated the Buffalo Sabres 3-1, moving their record to 2-6-3. The Flyers established an early lead they maintained throughout the game against the 4-3-2 Sabres. Philadelphia's victory defied a pregame lean from SportsFBI's model, which had favored Buffalo with a 72% probability.

Philadelphia opened the scoring in the first period when Cole Knuble found the net at 14:49, assisted by Oliver Bonk and Denver Barkey. Trevor Zegras extended the Flyers' lead to 2-0 at 19:17, with assists from Matvei Michkov and Jamie Drysdale. The Sabres responded late in the second period, as Jason Zucker scored at 19:25 from Jack Quinn and Noah Ostlund, narrowing Philadelphia's lead to 2-1.

Knuble secured his second goal of the night for Philadelphia at 3:03 of the third period, again assisted by Oliver Bonk, restoring the Flyers' two-goal advantage at 3-1. Dan Vladar made 27 saves on 28 shots for Philadelphia to earn the win, while Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 23 of 26 shots for Buffalo. The Sabres outshot the Flyers 28-26 overall.

#FlyersSabres #NHLRecap #ColeKnuble #DanVladar #PhiladelphiaHockey

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Buffalo Sabres (-218, 69% implied) over the Philadelphia Flyers. The underdog won.

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Buffalo Sabres (72% confidence). It gave a 39% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · BUF -1.5 PHI covered Won by 2
Total · 5.5 Under 4 combined
Moneyline PHI +172 · BUF -210 BUF favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (BUF) -1.5-1.5 No move
Total 5.55.5 No move
Moneyline (BUF) -188-210 -22

Standouts

Top Scorer · PHI
Cole Knuble
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 4 SOG · 10:24 TOI
Goals · PHI
Trevor Zegras
1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 4 SOG · 16:36 TOI
Goaltending · PHI
Dan Vladar
27 saves on 28 shots (.964) · W

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

PHI 2 largest lead P1 19:17 (PHI 2, BUF 0) · 2-0 run, P1 14:49–P1 19:17
BUF 0 largest lead Never led
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 0 times
Scoring summary
  • P1 14:49 Cole Knuble (Oliver Bonk, Denver Barkey) PHI · backhand shot · PHI 1, BUF 0
  • P1 19:17 Trevor Zegras (Matvei Michkov, Jamie Drysdale) PHI · Power play · bat shot · PHI 2, BUF 0
  • P2 19:25 Jason Zucker (Jack Quinn, Noah Ostlund) BUF · Power play · deflected shot · PHI 2, BUF 1
  • P3 3:03 Cole Knuble (Oliver Bonk) PHI · wrist shot · PHI 3, BUF 1

Linescore

123 T
PHI 201 3
BUF 010 1

Shots on goal: PHI 26, BUF 28

Biggest Period

The Philadelphia Flyers scored 2 goals in P1 — the biggest single period of the game.

📋 Team Stats

PHIBUF
27Shots on goal28
54Shot attempts55
21Faceoff wins27
19Hits14
13Blocked shots13
1Power-play goals1
2Takeaways5
16Giveaways16
11Penalty minutes25
96.4%Save %88.9%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
PHI910827
BUF167528

🎯 Shot Map

Philadelphia Flyers3 G · 39 attempts
Oliver Bonk: missed the netNoel Acciari: missed the netTrevor Zegras: saved (wrist)Christian Dvorak: saved (wrist)Nick Seeler: missed the netCole Knuble: saved (wrist)Jamie Drysdale: saved (slap)Simon Benoit: saved (wrist)Cole Knuble: goal (backhand)Alex Bump: missed the netPorter Martone: saved (wrist)Trevor Zegras: missed the netMatvei Michkov: saved (snap)Trevor Zegras: goal (bat)Denver Barkey: saved (snap)Tyson Foerster: saved (wrist)Alex Bump: saved (wrist)Christian Dvorak: saved (snap)Travis Sanheim: saved (wrist)Noel Acciari: missed the netTrevor Zegras: saved (wrist)Trevor Zegras: saved (wrist)Jamie Drysdale: missed the netJamie Drysdale: missed the netTyson Foerster: saved (tip-in)Denver Barkey: missed the netAlex Bump: saved (wrist)Jacob Gaucher: saved (wrist)Cole Knuble: goal (wrist)Cole Knuble: saved (tip-in)Denver Barkey: saved (tip-in)Tyson Foerster: saved (wrist)Sean Couturier: saved (tip-in)Christian Dvorak: missed the netTyson Foerster: missed the netTravis Sanheim: missed the netPorter Martone: saved (wrist)Matvei Michkov: saved (wrist)Alex Bump: saved (wrist)
  • 3Goals8% of attempts
  • 24Saved62% of attempts
  • 12Missed the net31% of attempts
Buffalo Sabres1 G · 40 attempts
Jack Quinn: saved (tip-in)Noah Ostlund: saved (between-legs)Tage Thompson: saved (slap)Rasmus Dahlin: saved (snap)Rasmus Dahlin: saved (slap)Jiri Kulich: saved (snap)Jiri Kulich: missed the netZach Metsa: missed the netTage Thompson: saved (wrist)Owen Power: saved (wrist)Noah Ostlund: saved (tip-in)Noah Ostlund: saved (deflected)Noah Ostlund: missed the netOlen Zellweger: saved (snap)Olen Zellweger: missed the netRyan McLeod: saved (snap)Beck Malenstyn: saved (snap)Josh Norris: missed the netZach Metsa: saved (wrist)Rasmus Dahlin: saved (slap)Olen Zellweger: saved (wrist)Zach Benson: missed the netJosh Doan: saved (wrist)Jiri Kulich: missed the netOwen Power: saved (snap)Jack Quinn: missed the netJosh Doan: saved (snap)Tage Thompson: saved (snap)Zach Benson: missed the netRasmus Dahlin: saved (wrist)Jack Quinn: saved (wrist)Jason Zucker: goal (deflected)Jack Quinn: missed the netJack Quinn: saved (wrist)Zach Benson: saved (snap)Tage Thompson: missed the netOlen Zellweger: missed the netJason Zucker: saved (tip-in)Jason Zucker: saved (snap)Jack Quinn: saved (snap)
  • 1Goals3% of attempts
  • 27Saved68% of attempts
  • 12Missed the net30% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

PHI skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Cole Knuble R 202+240010:24
Oliver Bonk D 022+200119:34
Trevor Zegras C 101040016:36
Jamie Drysdale D 011010224:37
Matvei Michkov R 011020018:02
Denver Barkey C 011+220012:19
Travis Sanheim D 000+211026:20
Christian Dvorak C 000021018:39
Nick Seeler D 000001217:59
Sean Couturier C 000010017:34
Tyson Foerster R 000031216:47
Porter Martone R 000020015:50
Alex Bump L 000032015:45
Noel Acciari C 000003214:04
Noah Cates L 000000013:53
Simon Benoit D 000012113:37
Hunter McDonald D 000006113:18
Jacob Gaucher C 000+212208:55
PHI goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Dan Vladar W 272896.4160:00
BUF skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Jason Zucker L 101031012:16
Noah Ostlund C 011030021:40
Jack Quinn R 011041020:45
Rasmus Dahlin D 000-143026:27
Owen Power D 000020126:12
Mattias Samuelsson D 000-100122:51
Zach Benson L 000010021:21
Tage Thompson C 000-230020:06
Olen Zellweger D 000020118:11
Josh Norris C 000000213:43
Jiri Kulich C 000-210113:42
Josh Doan R 000-221113:32
Ryan McLeod C 000010113:06
Zach Metsa D 000-110010:43
Louis Crevier D 000-102310:30
Beck Malenstyn L 000014110:07
Konsta Helenius C 000002109:07
Peyton Krebs C 000000008:49
BUF goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen L 242788.9357:26

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Cole Knuble PHI Points0.52 Over
Shots on goal1.54 Over
Oliver Bonk PHI Points0.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Matvei Michkov PHI Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Jack Quinn BUF Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.54 Over
Denver Barkey PHI Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Noah Ostlund BUF Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.53 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series PHI 1 – 0 BUF
Last 4 meetings · since 2025-26 PHI 2 – 2 BUF
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Philadelphia Flyers 3-6-3 W3 L10 3-5-2 Next game recap: vs ANA · Sat, Oct 24
Buffalo Sabres 4-4-2 L2 L10 4-4-2 Next game recap: @ WSH · Sat, Oct 24

🔍 Key Suspects Results

9 of 20 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

PHI — Away
Porter Martone Porter Martone RW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Matvei Michkov Matvei Michkov RW Shots on Goal · FanDuel 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 2
Alex Bump Alex Bump LW Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3
Trevor Zegras Trevor Zegras C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 4
Noel Acciari Noel Acciari C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Jamie Drysdale Jamie Drysdale D Assists · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Christian Dvorak Christian Dvorak C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Michael Bunting Michael Bunting LW Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER VOID
Noah Cates Noah Cates LW Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
BUF — Home
Rasmus Dahlin Rasmus Dahlin D Shots on Goal · DraftKings 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 4
Konsta Helenius Konsta Helenius C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Mattias Samuelsson Mattias Samuelsson D Points · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Ryan McLeod Ryan McLeod C Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Louis Crevier Louis Crevier D Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Olen Zellweger Olen Zellweger D Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Owen Power Owen Power D Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Josh Norris Josh Norris C Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Tage Thompson Tage Thompson C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 3
Jiri Kulich Jiri Kulich C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Noah Ostlund Noah Ostlund C Assists · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Jack Quinn Jack Quinn RW Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1

Sharper Picks Start Here

Live odds, Key Suspects, player props, DFS rankings, and real-time game tracking — all in one workspace built for serious bettors and DFS players.

Create Free Account Back to NHL