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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
BOS

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

June 2, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 4, BOS 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 56%
Projected Score BOS 4 ยท BAL 3
Blowout Probability 4%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 4.06 vs 4.21, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
ERA4.11
WHIP1.35
FIP3.52
K/97.7
K/BB4.6
Road ERA: 4.51
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Connelly Early
Connelly Early
ERA3.33
WHIP1.23
FIP4.26
K/99.0
K/BB5.7

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Coby Mayo 3B
  7. 7 Tyler O'Neill RF
  8. 8 Leody Taveras CF
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander 2B
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida DH
  6. 6 Mickey Gasper C
  7. 7 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B
  8. 8 Marcelo Mayer SS
  9. 9 Caleb Durbin 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.727 0.727
Bullpen FIP 3.94 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +2.1 +0.7
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL -1.5 (-1080)
BOS +1.5 (+570)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (+546)
Under 6.5 (-1000)
Moneyline
BAL -10000
BOS +1440

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Shane Baz Shane Baz SP
Outs
17.5
51 ยท UNDER
BOS โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

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